Game 823357 · Edge Labs

← Slate · Game detail

MIL @ PIT

The Read · 39 angles tracked

10 → MIL on the side

The board's strongest convergence on this game · 10 independent angles point MIL. The totals also lean OVER (6).

10 → MIL · Sides6 → OVER · Totals · 5 vs18 Props angles · line-shop

Sides 10 → MIL

MIL are 30-16 on the road this season 65% · n=46

MIL have won 7 of their last 10 (straight up)

MIL have covered the run line in 4 of their last 10 40% · n=10

Totals 6 → OVER

PNC Park went over 55% historically (n=290) 55% · n=290

PIT have gone OVER in 6 of their last 10 60% · n=10

PIT have gone OVER in 12 of their last 20 60% · n=20

Props 18 · line-shop only

Away starter faces high-K lineup, opponent ranks top-third of lineups for K/PA vs starters n=10739

Braxton Ashcraft has gone UNDER 6.5 Ks in 10 of his last 10 starts 100% · n=10

Brandon Lowe has a hit in 7 of his last 10 70% · n=10

Bryan Reynolds has a hit in 8 of his last 10 80% · n=10

Reasons to look, not a promise. You make the call. The market sees these too · use them as input. Dive into the data below.

Game context · weather, park, and the plate

Weather

71° Rain, Overcast

Wind 3 mph ESE (104°)

Dew point 69° · 92% humidity

Park · PNC Park

52.9% over

8.98 avg runs vs 8.34 closing · n=295 games (2023+). Historical, vs the closing number.

Home plate umpire

Lance Barrett

See this umpire's totals tendencies →

MIL · away · recent form

MIL have won 7 of their last 10 (straight up)

MIL have gone UNDER in 6 of their last 10 n=10

MIL have gone UNDER in 12 of their last 20 n=20

MIL have covered the run line in 4 of their last 10 n=10

PIT are 4-6 at home over their last 10 home games n=10

MIL are 8-2 on the road over their last 10 road games n=10

MIL have won 7 of their last 10 (straight up)

MIL have gone UNDER in 6 of their last 10 n=10

MIL have gone UNDER in 12 of their last 20 n=20

MIL have covered the run line in 4 of their last 10 n=10

PIT are 4-6 at home over their last 10 home games n=10

MIL are 8-2 on the road over their last 10 road games n=10

PIT · home · recent form

PIT have gone OVER in 6 of their last 10 n=10

PIT have gone OVER in 12 of their last 20 n=20

PIT have gone OVER in 6 of their last 10 n=10

PIT have gone OVER in 12 of their last 20 n=20

Matchup & handedness notes 2

PNC Park went over 55% historically (n=290) n=290

Lineups

Batting order · hand · position. Confirmed = official, Projected = probable.

Away Confirmed as of Jul 11, 10:00 PM

1 Christian Yelich LHB DH
2 Jackson Chourio RHB PH
3 Brice Turang LHB 2B
4 William Contreras RHB C
5 Andrew Vaughn RHB PH
6 Luis Lara SWH LF
7 Cooper Pratt RHB SS
8 Sal Frelick LHB RF
9 Joey Ortiz RHB 3B

Home Confirmed as of Jul 11, 10:00 PM

1 Jake Mangum SWH LF
2 Brandon Lowe LHB 2B
3 Bryan Reynolds SWH DH
4 Esmerlyn Valdez RHB RF
5 Ryan O'Hearn LHB 1B
6 Nick Gonzales RHB 3B
7 Billy Cook RHB CF
8 Jared Triolo RHB SS
9 Henry Davis RHB C

Test this matchup in Build-a-Trend →

Members

Unlock the pitching read

Membership opens both starters' Statcast arsenals, whiff and pitch-mix profiles, the pitcher-strikeout history board, and the strikeout-prop edge engine: a transparent model that projects each starter's K distribution from recent K% and the opposing lineup, then compares it to the line. Every input shown with its sample. A second opinion, never a lock.

Get full access Already a member? Sign in

Members

Unlock the market read

Membership opens the full line-movement history with steam flags and the best number across every book we track, so you pay less vig on the same bet. Line shopping is market-neutral, never a prediction.

Get full access Already a member? Sign in

Members

Unlock the props read

Membership opens the batter-prop board: each prop's history against the posted line with sample sizes, the prop trends, and raw line shopping across books. Descriptive context against the market's own price, never a pick.

Get full access Already a member? Sign in