Tools
The line math we use on the desk, CFB and NFL. Convert odds, strip the vig, size a bet honestly, and check whether you beat the close. Every formula is shown and every calculation runs in your browser. Market-neutral: these compute numbers, they do not predict outcomes.
Core math
Odds converter American, decimal, fractional, and implied probability. Type in any field, the rest follow. Open → No-vig / de-vig Strip the book’s vig to a fair implied probability. Handles 2-way and 3-way markets, shows the hold. Open → Expected value (EV) Turn a win probability into a decision. EV per dollar and per stake at the price you are offered. Open → Parlay Combine legs into one ticket: payout, combined true probability, and the total edge if any. Open →
Sizing
Hedge Size a hedge on the other side to lock a profit or cap a loss across two books. Open → Arbitrage Detect a 2-way arb, size both legs, and show the guaranteed profit percent if it exists. Open → Kelly stake Full and fractional Kelly sizing for an edge you actually believe in. As good as your estimate. Open → Bankroll / unit sizing Set a unit as a percent of bankroll, then size any play in units against it. Open →
Edge & proof
CLV tracker Enter your bet odds and the closing odds. We de-vig both and show whether you beat the close, by how much. Open → Line watchMembers Every book we capture on every upcoming CFB and NFL game: the best number on each side, the move since first capture and in the last 24 hours, key numbers, and our locked picks against the market. Open → Props researchMembers Every NFL player prop we capture beside the player's own games: how often he cleared that exact line over his last 5, last 10 and each season, with n, plus the consensus line and no-vig price. Open → Alt line pricerMembers What a half point was worth: how often past NFL and CFB closing favorites covered each alternate number, and how often games landed on each key number and total, with n on every share. Open →
The weekly board and the free picks, by email. Free.
CFB and NFL, each free pick labeled with its tier and stamped when it drops. No login, no gate, just the mail.
✓ You are in. The board lands in your inbox.
The weekly board and the free picks. No spam. 21+. Unsubscribe anytime.
These are market-neutral utilities. They reduce the vig you pay and size a bet you have already decided on. They are not predictions and not a guarantee of profit. Compare lines across books. 21+ · research, not advice.