The record · public claims layer
Every conviction we've called, in public.
The site grades every game. This page is narrower on purpose: only the leans strong enough to clear a pre-registered bar make this list, and once one lands here it never leaves, win or lose.
The pre-registered rule
A lean posts to the record when ALL hold:
- 4 or more independent angles converge on the same side.
- The strongest angle's sample clears n=150.
- At most 3 conviction posts per day; if nothing qualifies, we post exactly that ("nothing clears the bar tonight").
Every post meeting the rule enters the record; nothing ever leaves it.
5-15-0
Record (W-L-P)
25.0%
Win rate
-0.2
Avg CLV
2
Pending
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Every posted conviction
| Date | Matchup | Lean | Angles | Sample | Result | Score | CLV | Receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | SEA@LAD | OVER 9.5 | 5 | n=470 | PENDING | -- | -- | pending |
| Jul 29, 2026 | CLE@CIN | UNDER 9 | 6 | n=456 | PENDING | -- | -- | View post → |
| Jul 29, 2026 | BAL@DET | UNDER 7.5 | 7 | n=450 | LOSS | 10-9 | -- | pending |
| Jul 28, 2026 | MIL@SF | UNDER 7.5 | 4 | n=450 | LOSS | 8-2 | -- | pending |
| Jul 28, 2026 | BAL@DET | UNDER 9 | 6 | n=449 | LOSS | 0-14 | -- | View post → |
| Jul 28, 2026 | CLE@CIN | UNDER 9 | 7 | n=454 | WIN | 0-2 | -- | pending |
| Jul 23, 2026 | AZ@STL | UNDER 7.5 | 4 | n=446 | LOSS | 10-6 | -- | View post → |
| Jul 23, 2026 | MIN@CLE | UNDER 7.5 | 5 | n=451 | WIN | 3-1 | -- | View post → |
| Jul 22, 2026 | MIN@CLE | UNDER 8 | 8 | n=340 | LOSS | 10-6 | -- | pending |
| Jul 21, 2026 | PIT@NYY | OVER 9.5 | 4 | n=301 | LOSS | 0-2 | -- | pending |
| Jul 21, 2026 | TB@TOR | OVER 7.5 | 5 | n=303 | WIN | 12-2 | -- | pending |
| Jul 21, 2026 | MIN@CLE | UNDER 8 | 7 | n=303 | WIN | 2-5 | -- | pending |
| Jul 20, 2026 | BAL@BOS | UNDER 8.5 | 5 | n=288 | LOSS | 5-6 | -- | pending |
| Jul 20, 2026 | LAD@PHI | UNDER 8.5 | 5 | n=346 | LOSS | 7-10 | -- | pending |
| Jul 20, 2026 | MIN@CLE | UNDER 7.5 | 9 | n=340 | LOSS | 4-13 | -- | pending |
| Jul 19, 2026 | STL@AZ | UNDER 9 | 7 | n=217 | LOSS | 7-8 | 0.0 | View post → |
| Jul 19, 2026 | PIT@CLE | UNDER 7 | 9 | n=340 | LOSS | 7-1 | 0.0 | pending |
| Jul 18, 2026 | PIT@CLE | UNDER 7.5 | 7 | n=340 | LOSS | 3-5 | -1.0 | View post → |
| Jul 18, 2026 | CIN@COL | UNDER 12.5 | 9 | n=345 | LOSS | 3-10 | 0.0 | pending |
| Jul 17, 2026 | SD@KC | UNDER 10 | 5 | n=410 | LOSS | 6-7 | 0.0 | pending |
| Jul 17, 2026 | CIN@COL | UNDER 12 | 6 | n=345 | WIN | 7-2 | 0.0 | pending |
| Jul 17, 2026 | PIT@CLE | UNDER 7.5 | 7 | n=340 | LOSS | 7-1 | -0.5 | View post → |
22 convictions logged since July 17, 2026. Every row on this page met the rule above at the moment it posted. CLV is closing line value versus the number at post time; it only shows once a row settles.