The Read · 38 angles tracked 7 → UNDER on the total
The board's strongest convergence on this game · 7 independent angles point UNDER · 2 the other way, shown not hidden.
The sides also lean CHC (3).
7 → UNDER · Totals · 2 vs3 → CHC · Sides26 Props angles · line-shop
Totals 7 → UNDER
CIN games go UNDER 58% at home (n=293) 58% · n=293
CIN games go UNDER 59% vs RHP (n=345) 59% · n=345
CIN go UNDER 57% in the game after a loss (n=296) 57% · n=296
Great American Ball Park went under 53% historically (n=292) 53% · n=292
Sides 3 → CHC
CHC have covered the run line in 6 of their last 10 60% · n=10
CIN are 3-7 at home over their last 10 home games 30% · n=10
CHC are 7-3 on the road over their last 10 road games 70% · n=10
Props 26 · line-shop only
Away starter faces high-K lineup, opponent ranks top-third of lineups for K/PA vs starters n=10568
Nick Lodolo has gone OVER 4.5 Ks in 6 of his last 10 starts 60% · n=10
Javier Assad has gone UNDER 3.5 Ks in 6 of his last 10 starts 60% · n=10
Nick Lodolo strikes out 22% of LHB (n=267 PA) 22% · n=267
Reasons to look, not a promise. You make the call. The market sees these too · use them as input. Dive into the data below.
↗ Share this read Game context · weather, park, and the plate
Weather
80° Partially cloudy
Wind 3 mph ENE (60°)
Dew point 73° · 79% humidity
Park · Great American Ball Park
41.8% over
9.09 avg runs vs 9.21 closing · n=292 games (2023+). Historical, vs the closing number.
Home plate umpire
Dan Merzel
Lineups
Batting order · hand · position. Confirmed = official, Projected = probable. Away Confirmed as of Jul 11, 10:00 PM
- 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB CF
- 2 Seiya Suzuki RHB RF
- 3 Alex Bregman RHB 3B
- 4 Carson Kelly RHB DH
- 5 Michael Busch LHB 1B
- 6 Nico Hoerner RHB 2B
- 7 Ian Happ SWH LF
- 8 Dansby Swanson RHB SS
- 9 Miguel Amaya RHB C
Home Confirmed as of Jul 11, 10:00 PM
- 1 Elly De La Cruz SWH SS
- 2 Sal Stewart RHB 3B
- 3 JJ Bleday LHB LF
- 4 Spencer Steer RHB RF
- 5 Nathaniel Lowe LHB 1B
- 6 Eugenio Suárez RHB DH
- 7 Jose Trevino RHB C
- 8 Edwin Arroyo SWH 2B
- 9 TJ Friedl LHB CF
Test this matchup in Build-a-Trend → Members
Unlock the pitching read
Membership opens both starters' Statcast arsenals, whiff and pitch-mix profiles, the pitcher-strikeout history board, and the strikeout-prop edge engine: a transparent model that projects each starter's K distribution from recent K% and the opposing lineup, then compares it to the line. Every input shown with its sample. A second opinion, never a lock.
Members
Unlock the market read
Membership opens the full line-movement history with steam flags and the best number across every book we track, so you pay less vig on the same bet. Line shopping is market-neutral, never a prediction.
Members
Unlock the props read
Membership opens the batter-prop board: each prop's history against the posted line with sample sizes, the prop trends, and raw line shopping across books. Descriptive context against the market's own price, never a pick.
