Statcast research · Thu, Jul 30, 2026
The arsenal behind the K line
Every probable starter on the slate, broken down to the pitch. Mix, velocity, and
whiff rate from Statcast (2023 to 2025), set next to the current strikeout prop so
you can see what is driving the number. Research depth, not a play.
12Arsenals
43.8kPitches mapped
25.5%Avg whiff
11K lines live
Nolan McLean
NYM · MIA @ NYM R
5.5Ks o +110
Strikeout prop
fanduel
25.9 Whiff %
3.32ERA
142Season K
1.1WHIP
Pitch mix 740 pitches
Sinker 94.8 mph 28%
Sweeper 85.3 mph 26%
Curveball 80.0 mph 16%
Four-seam 95.8 mph 13%
Changeup 86.8 mph 9%
Nathan Eovaldi
TEX · TEX @ TB R
5.5Ks o -105
Strikeout prop
fanatics
24.7 Whiff %
4.05ERA
130Season K
1.2WHIP
Pitch mix 7.3k pitches
Four-seam 95.1 mph 33%
Splitter 88.0 mph 30%
Cutter 90.8 mph 17%
Curveball 76.2 mph 15%
Slider 85.0 mph 3%
Sean Burke
CWS · NYY @ CWS R
2.5Ks o -375
Strikeout prop
betrivers
23.1 Whiff %
3.19ERA
130Season K
1.1WHIP
Pitch mix 2.7k pitches
Four-seam 94.5 mph 43%
Knuckle-curve 79.7 mph 24%
Slider 86.7 mph 23%
Changeup 85.6 mph 6%
Sinker 94.0 mph 4%
Ryan Weathers
NYY · NYY @ CWS L
5.5Ks o +195
Strikeout prop
betrivers
23.8 Whiff %
4.25ERA
122Season K
1.3WHIP
Pitch mix 3.1k pitches
Four-seam 95.8 mph 45%
Changeup 86.7 mph 26%
Sweeper 82.2 mph 21%
Sinker 94.6 mph 7%
Slider 90.1 mph 1%
Bryan Woo
SEA · SEA @ LAD R
4.5Ks o -385
Strikeout prop
betrivers
23.1 Whiff %
4.37ERA
114Season K
1.1WHIP
Pitch mix 6.0k pitches
Four-seam 95.3 mph 48%
Sinker 95.1 mph 25%
Slider 87.6 mph 11%
Sweeper 83.7 mph 9%
Changeup 89.6 mph 7%
Shota Imanaga
CHC · CHC @ STL L
3.5Ks o +108
Strikeout prop
mybookieag
24.3 Whiff %
3.72ERA
113Season K
1.1WHIP
Pitch mix 4.8k pitches
Four-seam 91.3 mph 51%
Splitter 82.9 mph 31%
Sweeper 80.8 mph 12%
Curveball 72.4 mph 2%
Changeup 81.6 mph 2%
Eury Pérez
MIA · MIA @ NYM R
4.5Ks o -145
Strikeout prop
bovada
28.9 Whiff %
3.56ERA
106Season K
1.1WHIP
Pitch mix 3.2k pitches
Four-seam 97.7 mph 49%
Slider 86.3 mph 26%
Curveball 80.6 mph 12%
Changeup 89.7 mph 9%
Sweeper 82.8 mph 4%
Noah Cameron
KC · KC @ MIN L
4.5Ks o -140
Strikeout prop
betmgm
24.6 Whiff %
4.93ERA
100Season K
1.4WHIP
Pitch mix 2.2k pitches
Four-seam 92.3 mph 26%
Cutter 88.2 mph 22%
Curveball 80.9 mph 19%
Changeup 81.3 mph 19%
Slider 84.1 mph 14%
Roki Sasaki
LAD · SEA @ LAD R
3.5Ks o -147
Strikeout prop
betonlineag
22.3 Whiff %
4.71ERA
94Season K
1.3WHIP
Pitch mix 733 pitches
Four-seam 96.6 mph 49%
Forkball 85.3 mph 37%
Sweeper 81.9 mph 13%
Sonny Gray
BOS · BOS @ ATH R
6.5Ks o +138
Strikeout prop
betrivers
25.7 Whiff %
2.78ERA
93Season K
1.2WHIP
Pitch mix 8.2k pitches
Four-seam 92.4 mph 24%
Sweeper 84.7 mph 20%
Sinker 92.6 mph 17%
Curveball 79.9 mph 16%
Cutter 87.7 mph 14%
Shane McClanahan
TB · TEX @ TB L
No K line captured
prop pending
30.8 Whiff %
3.09ERA
88Season K
1.1WHIP
Pitch mix 1.8k pitches
Four-seam 96.8 mph 42%
Changeup 86.9 mph 26%
Curveball 83.5 mph 17%
Slider 89.3 mph 15%
Grant Holmes
ATL · WSH @ ATL R
6.5Ks o +143
Strikeout prop
betrivers
28.3 Whiff %
3.79ERA
83Season K
1.4WHIP
Pitch mix 3.0k pitches
Slider 85.7 mph 35%
Four-seam 94.5 mph 34%
Curveball 83.7 mph 17%
Cutter 92.2 mph 13%
Changeup 90.6 mph 1%
How to read this. Whiff rate is swinging strikes over total swings across the
pitcher's Statcast record (2023 to 2025), so it reflects how the arsenal actually misses bats, not a
single start. Velocity is the average release speed per pitch type. The strikeout line is the latest
captured number for that pitcher from the prop market. We pair the arsenal with the line so the K
number has a reason behind it. This is context to sharpen your own read, not a guaranteed outcome.
