Prop screener
Every posted batter prop and pitcher-K prop on the slate versus its consensus line, graded the way the cockpit grades them: how often the player actually cleared this number, over the last 10, last 20, and the season, with the sample on every cell. History versus a posted line is context, not a pick. We research, you decide.
Batter props
consensus line per market · cleared-the-line rate, x/n on every cell| Player | Market | Line | O / U best | Mkt O% | L10 | L20 | Season | vs LHP | vs RHP | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk bats R · TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -220 / +163 | 64% | 70%7/10 | 70%14/20 | 58%215/372 | 56%67/119 | 58%148/253 | 0.88 |
| Alejandro Kirk bats R · TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +850 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 30%6/20 | 8%29/372 | 5%6/119 | 9%23/253 | 0.09 |
| Alejandro Kirk bats R · TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +156 / -210 | 37% | 40%4/10 | 45%9/20 | 31%117/372 | 33%39/119 | 31%78/253 | 1.3 |
| Andres Gimenez bats L · TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -139 / +105 | 54% | 50%5/10 | 60%12/20 | 59%251/422 | 60%65/108 | 59%186/314 | 0.9 |
| Andres Gimenez bats L · TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1300 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 10%2/20 | 8%33/422 | 5%5/108 | 9%28/314 | 0.08 |
| Bryce Eldridge bats L · TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -113 / -117 | 50% | 20%2/10 | 20%2/10 | 20%2/10 | ·n=0 | 20%2/10 | 0.3 |
| Bryce Eldridge bats L · TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +575 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/10 | 0%0/10 | ·n=0 | 0%0/10 | 0 |
| Casey Schmitt bats R · TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -160 / +120 | 58% | 50%5/10 | 50%10/20 | 50%109/216 | 42%43/103 | 58%66/113 | 0.71 |
| Casey Schmitt bats R · TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +8000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 0%1/216 | 0%0/103 | 1%1/113 | 0.11 |
| Daulton Varsho bats L · TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -155 / +130 | 58% | 60%6/10 | 55%11/20 | 58%212/368 | 68%44/65 | 55%168/303 | 0.79 |
| Daulton Varsho bats L · TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +950 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 15%57/368 | 17%11/65 | 15%46/303 | 0.17 |
| Ernie Clement bats R · TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -262 / +193 | 68% | 100%10/10 | 90%18/20 | 62%197/316 | 61%75/123 | 63%122/193 | 0.99 |
| Ernie Clement bats R · TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1300 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 7%23/316 | 7%8/123 | 8%15/193 | 0.07 |
| Ernie Clement bats R · TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +140 / -182 | 39% | 50%5/10 | 55%11/20 | 37%118/316 | 35%43/123 | 39%75/193 | 1.46 |
| George Springer bats R · TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -265 / +195 | 68% | 80%8/10 | 80%16/20 | 64%287/451 | 54%61/114 | 67%226/337 | 1 |
| George Springer bats R · TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +750 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 30%6/20 | 15%67/451 | 13%15/114 | 15%52/337 | 0.17 |
| George Springer bats R · TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +122 / -160 | 42% | 80%8/10 | 75%15/20 | 41%186/451 | 33%38/114 | 44%148/337 | 1.7 |
| Heliot Ramos bats R · TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -165 / +124 | 58% | 70%7/10 | 55%11/20 | 66%200/301 | 66%63/96 | 67%137/205 | 0.99 |
| Heliot Ramos bats R · TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +625 / · | · | 40%4/10 | 25%5/20 | 15%44/301 | 17%16/96 | 14%28/205 | 0.15 |
| Jonatan Clase bats S · TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -115 / -115 | 50% | 50%5/10 | 40%8/20 | 53%28/53 | 48%10/21 | 56%18/32 | 0.68 |
| Jonatan Clase bats S · TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1100 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 6%3/53 | 0%0/21 | 9%3/32 | 0.06 |
| Jung Hoo Lee bats L · TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -196 / +146 | 62% | 50%5/10 | 55%11/20 | 70%128/184 | 61%33/54 | 73%95/130 | 1.02 |
| Jung Hoo Lee bats L · TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1100 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 5%9/184 | 2%1/54 | 6%8/130 | 0.05 |
| Luis Arraez bats L · TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -218 / +162 | 64% | 80%8/10 | 80%16/20 | 76%347/458 | 72%89/124 | 77%258/334 | 1.3 |
| Luis Arraez bats L · TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1300 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 5%21/458 | 3%4/124 | 5%17/334 | 0.05 |
| Luis Arraez bats L · TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +150 / -200 | 38% | 30%3/10 | 30%6/20 | 45%205/458 | 40%49/124 | 47%156/334 | 1.69 |
| Nathan Lukes bats L · TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -221 / +164 | 65% | 70%7/10 | 70%14/20 | 54%99/184 | 56%10/18 | 54%89/166 | 0.78 |
| Nathan Lukes bats L · TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +1100 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 7%13/184 | 0%0/18 | 8%13/166 | 0.07 |
| Nathan Lukes bats L · TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +155 / -200 | 37% | 40%4/10 | 45%9/20 | 32%58/184 | 33%6/18 | 31%52/166 | 1.2 |
| Rafael Devers bats L · TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -123 / -108 | 52% | 80%8/10 | 65%13/20 | 65%291/447 | 66%85/129 | 65%206/318 | 1.01 |
| Rafael Devers bats L · TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +500 / · | · | 40%4/10 | 20%4/20 | 19%87/447 | 16%21/129 | 21%66/318 | 0.21 |
| Willy Adames bats R · TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -114 / -116 | 50% | 60%6/10 | 55%11/20 | 59%280/473 | 54%68/127 | 61%212/346 | 0.87 |
| Willy Adames bats R · TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +625 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 15%3/20 | 16%76/473 | 12%15/127 | 18%61/346 | 0.18 |
| Adley Rutschman bats S · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -243 / +183 | 67% | 40%4/10 | 55%11/20 | 64%252/393 | 62%70/113 | 65%182/280 | 0.96 |
| Adley Rutschman bats S · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +425 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 11%45/393 | 13%15/113 | 11%30/280 | 0.12 |
| Adley Rutschman bats S · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +122 / -154 | 43% | 10%1/10 | 35%7/20 | 37%147/393 | 44%50/113 | 35%97/280 | 1.53 |
| Alex Bregman bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -244 / +194 | 67% | 70%7/10 | 70%14/20 | 66%286/434 | 60%80/133 | 68%206/301 | 1.03 |
| Alex Bregman bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +8000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 0%2/434 | 0%0/133 | 1%2/301 | 0.17 |
| Alex Bregman bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +132 / -160 | 42% | 50%5/10 | 40%8/20 | 41%179/434 | 35%47/133 | 44%132/301 | 1.77 |
| Blaze Alexander bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -200 / +161 | 63% | 50%5/10 | 55%11/20 | 56%68/122 | 57%28/49 | 55%40/73 | 0.77 |
| Blaze Alexander bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +8000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 0%0/122 | 0%0/49 | 0%0/73 | 0.08 |
| Blaze Alexander bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +158 / -179 | 39% | 20%2/10 | 20%4/20 | 31%38/122 | 37%18/49 | 27%20/73 | 1.19 |
| Carson Kelly bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -184 / +143 | 61% | 60%6/10 | 60%12/20 | 53%131/246 | 52%34/66 | 54%97/180 | 0.78 |
| Carson Kelly bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +575 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 11%26/246 | 15%10/66 | 9%16/180 | 0.12 |
| Carson Kelly bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +178 / -238 | 34% | 20%2/10 | 25%5/20 | 27%67/246 | 32%21/66 | 26%46/180 | 1.26 |
| Colton Cowser bats L · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -148 / +122 | 57% | 40%4/10 | 40%8/20 | 55%143/261 | 62%38/61 | 53%105/200 | 0.74 |
| Colton Cowser bats L · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +400 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 20%4/20 | 15%38/261 | 13%8/61 | 15%30/200 | 0.15 |
| Colton Cowser bats L · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +171 / -227 | 35% | 40%4/10 | 35%7/20 | 32%84/261 | 33%20/61 | 32%64/200 | 1.38 |
| Dansby Swanson bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -158 / +125 | 58% | 50%5/10 | 55%11/20 | 63%288/457 | 63%72/114 | 63%216/343 | 0.9 |
| Dansby Swanson bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +475 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 10%2/20 | 13%59/457 | 13%15/114 | 13%44/343 | 0.14 |
| Dansby Swanson bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +164 / -217 | 36% | 20%2/10 | 25%5/20 | 38%172/457 | 39%44/114 | 37%128/343 | 1.51 |
| Dylan Beavers bats L · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -139 / +115 | 56% | 40%4/10 | 35%7/20 | 51%18/35 | 40%2/5 | 53%16/30 | 0.71 |
| Dylan Beavers bats L · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +7000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 0%0/35 | 0%0/5 | 0%0/30 | 0.11 |
| Dylan Beavers bats L · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 0.5 | -135 / +105 | 54% | 40%4/10 | 35%7/20 | 51%18/35 | 40%2/5 | 53%16/30 | 1.26 |
| Gunnar Henderson bats L · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Hits | O 1.5 | +191 / -244 | 33% | 20%2/10 | 25%5/20 | 27%127/463 | 23%29/128 | 29%98/335 | 1.05 |
| Gunnar Henderson bats L · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +290 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 17%81/463 | 17%22/128 | 18%59/335 | 0.18 |
| Gunnar Henderson bats L · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +100 / -118 | 48% | 40%4/10 | 40%8/20 | 44%203/463 | 35%45/128 | 47%158/335 | 1.88 |
| Ian Happ bats S · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -182 / +142 | 61% | 40%4/10 | 55%11/20 | 62%289/464 | 63%76/121 | 62%213/343 | 0.91 |
| Ian Happ bats S · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +3000 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 2%7/464 | 2%2/121 | 1%5/343 | 0.15 |
| Ian Happ bats S · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +139 / -169 | 41% | 30%3/10 | 45%9/20 | 38%174/464 | 31%37/121 | 40%137/343 | 1.61 |
| Jackson Holliday bats L · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -150 / +127 | 57% | 30%3/10 | 60%12/20 | 60%123/205 | 57%26/46 | 61%97/159 | 0.87 |
| Jackson Holliday bats L · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +525 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 10%2/20 | 10%21/205 | 7%3/46 | 11%18/159 | 0.11 |
| Jackson Holliday bats L · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 0.5 | -169 / +130 | 59% | 30%3/10 | 60%12/20 | 60%123/205 | 57%26/46 | 61%97/159 | 1.36 |
| Michael Busch bats L · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -208 / +165 | 64% | 70%7/10 | 60%12/20 | 56%186/333 | 49%21/43 | 57%165/290 | 0.84 |
| Michael Busch bats L · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +3300 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 1%3/333 | 0%0/43 | 1%3/290 | 0.18 |
| Michael Busch bats L · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +130 / -156 | 42% | 50%5/10 | 45%9/20 | 36%119/333 | 26%11/43 | 37%108/290 | 1.6 |
| Michael Conforto bats L · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -122 / +101 | · | 40%4/10 | 45%9/20 | 50%195/387 | 60%41/68 | 48%154/319 | 0.73 |
| Michael Conforto bats L · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +400 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 12%47/387 | 16%11/68 | 11%36/319 | 0.12 |
| Michael Conforto bats L · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 0.5 | -123 / -105 | 52% | 40%4/10 | 45%9/20 | 50%195/387 | 60%41/68 | 48%154/319 | 1.26 |
| Nico Hoerner bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -227 / +182 | 66% | 90%9/10 | 80%16/20 | 72%333/460 | 77%86/111 | 71%247/349 | 1.14 |
| Nico Hoerner bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +950 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 10%2/20 | 5%23/460 | 5%6/111 | 5%17/349 | 0.05 |
| Nico Hoerner bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +146 / -176 | 39% | 60%6/10 | 55%11/20 | 42%191/460 | 48%53/111 | 40%138/349 | 1.54 |
| Pete Alonso bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -241 / +189 | 67% | 90%9/10 | 80%16/20 | 62%299/479 | 62%84/136 | 63%215/343 | 0.94 |
| Pete Alonso bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +290 / · | · | 20%2/10 | 25%5/20 | 23%110/479 | 20%27/136 | 24%83/343 | 0.25 |
| Pete Alonso bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +110 / -136 | 45% | 70%7/10 | 60%12/20 | 44%212/479 | 40%54/136 | 46%158/343 | 1.91 |
| Samuel Basallo bats L · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -227 / +171 | 65% | 40%4/10 | 45%9/20 | 52%16/31 | 25%1/4 | 56%15/27 | 0.58 |
| Samuel Basallo bats L · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +2700 / · | · | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 0%0/31 | 0%0/4 | 0%0/27 | 0.13 |
| Samuel Basallo bats L · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +124 / -150 | 44% | 20%2/10 | 30%6/20 | 29%9/31 | 25%1/4 | 30%8/27 | 1.16 |
| Seiya Suzuki bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -199 / +155 | 63% | 90%9/10 | 80%16/20 | 68%286/423 | 65%73/112 | 68%213/311 | 1.04 |
| Seiya Suzuki bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 0.5 | +390 / · | · | 50%5/10 | 35%7/20 | 16%69/423 | 13%14/112 | 18%55/311 | 0.18 |
| Seiya Suzuki bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +135 / -170 | 40% | 80%8/10 | 60%12/20 | 44%188/423 | 40%45/112 | 46%143/311 | 1.87 |
| Taylor Ward bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Hits | O 0.5 | -197 / +151 | 62% | 80%8/10 | 65%13/20 | 62%255/409 | 69%67/97 | 60%188/312 | 0.89 |
| Taylor Ward bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Home runs | O 1.5 | +5500 / · | · | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 1%3/409 | 0%0/97 | 1%3/312 | 0.18 |
| Taylor Ward bats R · CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | Total bases | O 1.5 | +139 / -170 | 41% | 50%5/10 | 35%7/20 | 41%169/409 | 42%41/97 | 41%128/312 | 1.65 |
Pitcher strikeout props
starter K line · times he actually cleared it · the model view lives in the K engine| Pitcher | Line | O / U | Mkt O% | L10 | L20 | Season | Avg Ks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | O 6.5 | -162 / +125 | 58% | 40%4/10 | 55%11/20 | 49%49/101 | 6.6 |
| Logan Webb TOR @ SF · 3:45 PM ET | O 5 | -32 / 0 | · | 50%5/10 | 60%12/20 | 54%54/100 | 5.9 |
| Dean Kremer CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | O 5.5 | +123 / -160 | 42% | 30%3/10 | 45%9/20 | 38%33/88 | 4.8 |
| Colin Rea CHC @ BAL · 6:35 PM ET | O 4.5 | +103 / -131 | 46% | 40%4/10 | 40%8/20 | 42%39/93 | 4 |
The rest of the slate
13 more games of graded props · members onlyHow to read this board. The line is the consensus (median) posted OVER line across books; O/U is the best available price at that line. Hit rates are the share of games the player actually cleared that number, graded from pitch-level Statcast · x/n is shown on every cell because a 3-for-4 streak is not a 30-for-40 season. Mkt O% is the de-vigged implied over from the consensus prices. Platoon splits are vs the hand most faced per game, never vs today's specific pitcher. All of it is descriptive context · we never sell a pick.