Research · MLB props

Prop screener

Every posted batter prop and pitcher-K prop on the slate versus its consensus line, graded the way the cockpit grades them: how often the player actually cleared this number, over the last 10, last 20, and the season, with the sample on every cell. History versus a posted line is context, not a pick. We research, you decide.

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Batter props

consensus line per market · cleared-the-line rate, x/n on every cell

21+ · descriptive history vs a posted number · never a pick · hit rate vs the line + platoon split, not vs today's pitcher

Player	Market	Line	O / U best	Mkt O%	L10	L20	Season	vs LHP	vs RHP	Avg
Angel Martinez bats S · DET @ CLE · 1:40 PM ET	Hits	O 0.5	-140 / +106	55%	60%6/10	60%12/20	58%100/173	58%36/62	58%64/111	0.79
Angel Martinez bats S · DET @ CLE · 1:40 PM ET	Home runs	O 1.5	+7000 / ·	·	0%0/10	0%0/20	0%0/173	0%0/62	0%0/111	0.08
Brayan Rocchio bats S · DET @ CLE · 1:40 PM ET	Hits	O 0.5	-142 / +107	55%	60%6/10	45%9/20	53%144/271	46%39/84	56%105/187	0.71
Brayan Rocchio bats S · DET @ CLE · 1:40 PM ET	Home runs	O 0.5	+750 / ·	·	20%2/10	10%2/20	6%15/271	7%6/84	5%9/187	0.06
Brayan Rocchio bats S · DET @ CLE · 1:40 PM ET	Total bases	O 0.5	-140 / +105	54%	60%6/10	45%9/20	53%144/271	46%39/84	56%105/187	1.05
Colt Keith bats L · DET @ CLE · 1:40 PM ET	Hits	O 0.5	-121 / -109	51%	60%6/10	50%10/20	56%164/291	68%19/28	55%145/263	0.84
Colt Keith bats L · DET @ CLE · 1:40 PM ET	Home runs	O 0.5	+950 / ·	·	0%0/10	5%1/20	9%25/291	4%1/28	9%24/263	0.09
Daniel Schneemann bats L · DET @ CLE · 1:40 PM ET	Hits	O 0.5	-122 / -108	51%	30%3/10	30%6/20	47%92/196	50%9/18	47%83/178	0.62
Daniel Schneemann bats L · DET @ CLE · 1:40 PM ET	Home runs	O 0.5	+700 / ·	·	10%1/10	5%1/20	8%16/196	0%0/18	9%16/178	0.09
David Fry bats R · DET @ CLE · 1:40 PM ET	Home runs	O 0.5	+575 / ·	·	10%1/10	10%2/20	12%28/240	11%16/152	14%12/88	0.12
Dillon Dingler bats R · DET @ CLE · 1:40 PM ET	Hits	O 0.5	-180 / +135	60%	60%6/10	60%12/20	61%95/157	63%27/43	60%68/114	0.89
Dillon Dingler bats R · DET @ CLE · 1:40 PM ET	Home runs	O 1.5	+4500 / ·	·	0%0/10	0%0/20	0%0/157	0%0/43	0%0/114	0.1
Dillon Dingler bats R · DET @ CLE · 1:40 PM ET	Total bases	O 1.5	+119 / -159	43%	40%4/10	35%7/20	38%60/157	44%19/43	36%41/114	1.41
Gleyber Torres bats R · DET @ CLE · 1:40 PM ET	Hits	O 0.5	-219 / +163	64%	70%7/10	70%14/20	68%316/467	65%74/114	69%242/353	1.01
Gleyber Torres bats R · DET @ CLE · 1:40 PM ET	Home runs	O 0.5	+850 / ·	·	10%1/10	10%2/20	12%57/467	18%21/114	10%36/353	0.13
James Outman bats L · DET @ CLE · 1:40 PM ET	Hits	O 0.5	-101 / -131	47%	10%1/10	25%5/20	47%114/245	53%29/55	45%85/190	0.64
Kerry Carpenter bats L · DET @ CLE · 1:40 PM ET	Hits	O 0.5	-132 / -101	53%	60%6/10	50%10/20	60%205/341	56%18/32	61%187/309	0.92
Kerry Carpenter bats L · DET @ CLE · 1:40 PM ET	Home runs	O 0.5	+475 / ·	·	20%2/10	15%3/20	17%59/341	16%5/32	17%54/309	0.2
Kyle Manzardo bats L · DET @ CLE · 1:40 PM ET	Hits	O 0.5	-134 / +101	54%	60%6/10	60%12/20	58%117/203	56%14/25	58%103/178	0.74
Kyle Manzardo bats L · DET @ CLE · 1:40 PM ET	Home runs	O 0.5	+425 / ·	·	10%1/10	10%2/20	15%30/203	8%2/25	16%28/178	0.16
Patrick Bailey bats S · DET @ CLE · 1:40 PM ET	Hits	O 0.5	-112 / -118	49%	70%7/10	70%14/20	55%189/342	62%60/97	53%129/245	0.76
Patrick Bailey bats S · DET @ CLE · 1:40 PM ET	Home runs	O 0.5	+850 / ·	·	0%0/10	15%3/20	6%21/342	6%6/97	6%15/245	0.06
Rhys Hoskins bats R · DET @ CLE · 1:40 PM ET	Hits	O 0.5	-160 / +120	58%	20%2/10	40%8/20	55%122/223	48%35/73	58%87/150	0.73
Rhys Hoskins bats R · DET @ CLE · 1:40 PM ET	Home runs	O 1.5	+4000 / ·	·	0%0/10	0%0/20	0%1/223	1%1/73	0%0/150	0.17
Riley Greene bats L · DET @ CLE · 1:40 PM ET	Hits	O 0.5	-180 / +135	60%	50%5/10	50%10/20	65%257/397	61%55/90	66%202/307	1.04
Riley Greene bats L · DET @ CLE · 1:40 PM ET	Home runs	O 1.5	+4000 / ·	·	0%0/10	0%0/20	2%8/397	1%1/90	2%7/307	0.18
Spencer Torkelson bats R · DET @ CLE · 1:40 PM ET	Hits	O 0.5	-131 / -101	53%	60%6/10	60%12/20	60%244/408	59%58/99	60%186/309	0.88
Spencer Torkelson bats R · DET @ CLE · 1:40 PM ET	Home runs	O 1.5	+5500 / ·	·	0%0/10	0%0/20	1%5/408	2%2/99	1%3/309	0.18
Steven Kwan bats L · DET @ CLE · 1:40 PM ET	Hits	O 0.5	-185 / +138	61%	60%6/10	65%13/20	70%305/435	66%84/128	72%221/307	1.15
Steven Kwan bats L · DET @ CLE · 1:40 PM ET	Home runs	O 0.5	+950 / ·	·	10%1/10	5%1/20	7%29/435	5%7/128	7%22/307	0.07
Zach McKinstry bats L · DET @ CLE · 1:40 PM ET	Hits	O 0.5	-130 / -102	53%	40%4/10	40%8/20	55%221/399	61%34/56	55%187/343	0.74
Zach McKinstry bats L · DET @ CLE · 1:40 PM ET	Home runs	O 0.5	+850 / ·	·	0%0/10	5%1/20	7%26/399	5%3/56	7%23/343	0.07

Pitcher strikeout props

starter K line · times he actually cleared it · the model view lives in the K engine

Pitcher	Line	O / U	Mkt O%	L10	L20	Season	Avg Ks
Gavin Williams DET @ CLE · 1:40 PM ET	O 6.5	-130 / +102	53%	40%4/10	35%7/20	29%19/65	5.3
Casey Mize DET @ CLE · 1:40 PM ET	O 3.5	-136 / +104	54%	70%7/10	80%16/20	65%34/52	4.3

How to read this board. The line is the consensus (median) posted OVER line across books; O/U is the best available price at that line. Hit rates are the share of games the player actually cleared that number, graded from pitch-level Statcast · x/n is shown on every cell because a 3-for-4 streak is not a 30-for-40 season. Mkt O% is the de-vigged implied over from the consensus prices. Platoon splits are vs the hand most faced per game, never vs today's specific pitcher. All of it is descriptive context · we never sell a pick.