The price on Indiana

Down 3.7 units going into this slate.

Small spreads are where an outright dog earns my attention. Indiana gets 3.5 points in Dallas, and the moneyline offers more than a polite return. This is a real schedule case, not a coronation. Dallas has looked better lately. The calendar is the crack in the paint.

Indiana Pacers at Dallas Mavericks

Indiana Pacers at +131 on DraftKings have the price I want tonight. The Pacers have 1 day off, while Dallas has no day off after its 130-93 home win over Brooklyn. That puts the Mavericks on a back-to-back and in their third game in four nights. The 3.5-point spread keeps this close enough for the moneyline to matter.

Dallas is 3-2 across its past five, but that recent stretch includes the game it played last night. Indiana arrives with time between games, and the Mavericks are being asked to handle a fresh opponent without it. The Pacers have a 3-7 regular-season mark, which helps explain the return, but the scheduling imbalance is sitting right beside a short spread. I will take Indiana to turn that into a road win.

What beats it: Dallas’s home floor, its 6-4 regular-season mark, and the 121-105 earlier meeting favor the Mavericks. Indiana’s listed absences add another obstacle.

The calendar carries this one. I stand behind the price.

Prices as captured Monday, Nov 9 at 9:00 AM ET. Adults 21 and over only. This is research and entertainment, not a recommendation to bet.