College football power ratings for 2026. Our number on the FBS field.
These are our college football power ratings for the 2026 season. The EL Rating v1 starts every team at its preseason composite: last season's performance, four years of blue chip recruiting, returning production, transfer class quality, and coaching continuity, fit to what actually predicts wins. Tested on two held out seasons it missed actual win totals by 1.88 wins on average against 1.97 for a rating built on last season's performance alone. Once a team plays, its rating moves one game at a time on opponent adjusted margin (the in-season layer, refit after each week's finals; currently through week 4, written Sep 29, 2026). Expected wins still come from the preseason schedule walk and are not re-walked in season. Below it sits the talent layer the rating drew from, which keeps refreshing to the current recruiting snapshot.
There are 138 FBS teams in 2026, and every one of them carries a rating below. North Dakota State and Sacramento State moved up from the FCS this season with no preseason history, so each starts from a transition prior instead (the median rating of the bottom 10 preseason teams) and walks the season one game at a time from there, same as everybody else, just without an expected wins number, since that comes only from the preseason schedule walk they never had.
| Rk | Team | Rating | Expected wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Georgia | 24.5 | 9.9 |
| 2 | Ohio State | 23.4 | 10.4 |
| 3 | Alabama | 23.1 | 7.6 |
| 4 | LSU | 22.5 | 7.2 |
| 5 | Notre Dame | 22.5 | 10.8 |
| 6 | Texas | 22.0 | 7.8 |
| 7 | Florida | 17.5 | 6.6 |
| 8 | Miami | 17.2 | 10.1 |
| 9 | Utah | 16.2 | 9.4 |
| 10 | Indiana | 15.3 | 8.6 |
| 11 | Tennessee | 15.0 | 7.6 |
| 12 | Oregon | 14.5 | 10.1 |
| 13 | Texas A&M | 12.7 | 9.8 |
| 14 | Ole Miss | 12.5 | 8.1 |
| 15 | Mississippi State | 12.5 | 4.8 |
| 16 | Michigan | 12.2 | 7.8 |
| 17 | BYU | 11.4 | 8.3 |
| 18 | Penn State | 11.0 | 8.6 |
| 19 | Nebraska | 10.8 | 6.3 |
| 20 | Auburn | 10.3 | 6.9 |
| 21 | Oklahoma | 10.3 | 7.6 |
| 22 | USC | 10.1 | 8.7 |
| 23 | Iowa | 10.1 | 7.7 |
| 24 | Texas Tech | 9.8 | 10.3 |
| 25 | Missouri | 9.0 | 6.6 |
| 26 | Boise State | 9.0 | 6.2 |
| 27 | UCLA | 8.5 | 3.6 |
| 28 | Florida State | 7.8 | 7.9 |
| 29 | Clemson | 7.5 | 8.6 |
| 30 | Louisville | 7.3 | 7.5 |
| 31 | Northwestern | 6.9 | 5.8 |
| 32 | Kansas State | 6.7 | 7.8 |
| 33 | Kentucky | 6.7 | 3.6 |
| 34 | Duke | 6.5 | 6.0 |
| 35 | Arizona | 6.5 | 7.4 |
| 36 | South Carolina | 6.4 | 6.6 |
| 37 | SMU | 6.3 | 8.5 |
| 38 | James Madison | 6.2 | 8.1 |
| 39 | Houston | 5.9 | 7.9 |
| 40 | Washington | 5.8 | 8.0 |
| 41 | Virginia | 5.5 | 7.0 |
| 42 | Pittsburgh | 5.3 | 7.3 |
| 43 | New Mexico | 5.2 | 7.1 |
| 44 | Vanderbilt | 5.1 | 6.7 |
| 45 | Baylor | 4.9 | 5.9 |
| 46 | Wake Forest | 4.0 | 5.8 |
| 47 | Iowa State | 3.9 | 6.6 |
| 48 | Wisconsin | 3.5 | 4.7 |
| 49 | Illinois | 3.4 | 6.8 |
| 50 | UTSA | 3.3 | 7.6 |
| 51 | Minnesota | 3.0 | 5.8 |
| 52 | TCU | 2.6 | 6.7 |
| 53 | UCF | 2.4 | 6.0 |
| 54 | Virginia Tech | 2.4 | 4.5 |
| 55 | Toledo | 2.4 | 9.0 |
| 56 | Texas State | 1.8 | 6.1 |
| 57 | North Texas | 1.6 | 7.5 |
| 58 | Fresno State | 1.6 | 5.8 |
| 59 | Cincinnati | 1.5 | 5.2 |
| 60 | Michigan State | 1.3 | 4.2 |
| 61 | North Carolina | 0.8 | 4.5 |
| 62 | South Florida | 0.7 | 8.0 |
| 63 | Arizona State | 0.6 | 5.5 |
| 64 | Louisiana | 0.5 | 7.5 |
| 65 | NC State | 0.3 | 7.3 |
| 66 | Army | 0.2 | 7.4 |
| 67 | Memphis | 0.1 | 7.2 |
| 68 | Oklahoma State | -0.5 | 3.0 |
| 69 | Arkansas | -0.5 | 3.7 |
| 70 | UNLV | -0.7 | 7.5 |
| 71 | Western Michigan | -1.3 | 7.5 |
| 72 | North Dakota State | -1.4 | · in-season rating from a transition prior; no preseason walk |
| 73 | Oregon State | -1.5 | 3.8 |
| 74 | Washington State | -1.8 | 6.4 |
| 75 | East Carolina | -1.9 | 7.6 |
| 76 | UConn | -1.9 | 7.1 |
| 77 | Florida Atlantic | -2.1 | 5.1 |
| 78 | Maryland | -2.2 | 5.9 |
| 79 | Louisiana Tech | -2.8 | 7.1 |
| 80 | Kansas | -2.9 | 6.0 |
| 81 | Georgia Tech | -3.0 | 6.5 |
| 82 | Liberty | -3.3 | 6.6 |
| 83 | Tulane | -3.9 | 6.7 |
| 84 | Temple | -4.3 | 5.5 |
| 85 | Air Force | -4.4 | 7.6 |
| 86 | West Virginia | -4.5 | 4.8 |
| 87 | Navy | -4.5 | 6.8 |
| 88 | Colorado | -4.6 | 4.7 |
| 89 | Miami (OH) | -5.1 | 6.6 |
| 90 | Purdue | -5.2 | 4.0 |
| 91 | App State | -5.4 | 6.3 |
| 92 | Utah State | -5.6 | 4.8 |
| 93 | Western Kentucky | -5.6 | 7.7 |
| 94 | Georgia State | -5.8 | 4.1 |
| 95 | Colorado State | -6.1 | 3.7 |
| 96 | San Diego State | -6.2 | 7.6 |
| 97 | Missouri State | -6.2 | 5.0 |
| 98 | Rutgers | -6.2 | 5.5 |
| 99 | Ohio | -6.4 | 7.1 |
| 100 | California | -6.4 | 5.5 |
| 101 | Syracuse | -6.6 | 3.9 |
| 102 | South Alabama | -6.9 | 6.0 |
| 103 | Massachusetts | -6.9 | 2.6 |
| 104 | Delaware | -6.9 | 6.3 |
| 105 | Stanford | -6.9 | 3.4 |
| 106 | Florida International | -7.3 | 6.4 |
| 107 | Troy | -7.3 | 6.4 |
| 108 | Rice | -7.4 | 3.7 |
| 109 | Marshall | -7.5 | 7.4 |
| 110 | Jacksonville State | -7.7 | 7.2 |
| 111 | Georgia Southern | -8.2 | 4.6 |
| 112 | Kent State | -8.4 | 4.5 |
| 113 | UAB | -8.5 | 4.3 |
| 114 | Tulsa | -9.2 | 5.6 |
| 115 | Middle Tennessee | -9.4 | 5.1 |
| 116 | Arkansas State | -9.4 | 5.8 |
| 117 | Nevada | -10.1 | 5.7 |
| 118 | Boston College | -10.4 | 3.6 |
| 119 | Kennesaw State | -10.4 | 6.0 |
| 120 | Old Dominion | -10.7 | 7.0 |
| 121 | San José State | -10.7 | 5.0 |
| 122 | Hawai'i | -10.7 | 8.3 |
| 123 | Southern Miss | -10.8 | 5.3 |
| 124 | Central Michigan | -11.4 | 6.4 |
| 125 | New Mexico State | -11.5 | 4.7 |
| 126 | Coastal Carolina | -11.9 | 4.7 |
| 127 | Sam Houston | -12.8 | 3.4 |
| 128 | Eastern Michigan | -13.0 | 6.2 |
| 129 | Wyoming | -13.0 | 5.7 |
| 130 | UTEP | -14.3 | 4.3 |
| 131 | Buffalo | -14.4 | 6.0 |
| 132 | Akron | -15.5 | 6.0 |
| 133 | Ball State | -16.0 | 3.8 |
| 134 | Bowling Green | -16.0 | 5.2 |
| 135 | Northern Illinois | -17.5 | 5.2 |
| 136 | Charlotte | -17.9 | 2.8 |
| 137 | UL Monroe | -20.0 | 4.4 |
| 138 | Sacramento State | -20.8 | · in-season rating from a transition prior; no preseason walk |
The talent layer
| Rk | Team | Conference | Composite | Talent | Blue-chip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 85.4 | 67.6% | |
| 2 | Alabama | SEC | 84.1 | 64.1% | |
| 3 | Texas | SEC | 84.1 | 67.2% | |
| 4 | Texas A&M | SEC | 83.6 | 76.5% | |
| 5 | Georgia | SEC | 82.7 | 70.2% | |
| 6 | Miami | ACC | 82.2 | 56.9% | |
| 7 | Notre Dame | Independent | 81.1 | 59.2% | |
| 8 | Florida | SEC | 80.6 | 63.0% | |
| 9 | LSU | SEC | 80.6 | 63.7% | |
| 10 | South Carolina | SEC | 80.4 | 54.8% | |
| 11 | Oregon | Big Ten | 80.4 | 60.6% | |
| 12 | Oklahoma | SEC | 79.8 | 39.0% | |
| 13 | Penn State | Big Ten | 79.6 | 45.4% | |
| 14 | Florida State | ACC | 79.4 | 45.0% | |
| 15 | Clemson | ACC | 79.1 | 54.4% | |
| 16 | Michigan | Big Ten | 78.7 | 54.1% | |
| 17 | Auburn | SEC | 78.6 | 51.7% | |
| 18 | Ole Miss | SEC | 78.2 | 44.0% | |
| 19 | USC | Big Ten | 76.5 | 50.0% | |
| 20 | Missouri | SEC | 75.9 | 31.8% | |
| 21 | TCU | Big 12 | 75.5 | 15.8% | |
| 22 | Maryland | Big Ten | 75.1 | 16.9% | |
| 23 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 75.0 | 18.2% | |
| 24 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 74.9 | 12.5% | |
| 25 | Baylor | Big 12 | 74.4 | 11.0% | |
| 26 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 74.2 | 11.7% | |
| 27 | Tennessee | SEC | 74.2 | 45.1% | |
| 28 | North Carolina | ACC | 74.2 | 21.1% | |
| 29 | Mississippi State | SEC | 74.0 | 21.0% | |
| 30 | UCF | Big 12 | 73.9 | 13.6% | |
| 31 | Colorado | Big 12 | 73.8 | 31.4% | |
| 32 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 73.8 | 27.1% | |
| 33 | Kentucky | SEC | 73.7 | 25.3% | |
| 34 | Washington | Big Ten | 73.7 | 26.3% | |
| 35 | Stanford | ACC | 73.4 | 7.8% | |
| 36 | Indiana | Big Ten | 73.3 | 16.7% | |
| 37 | SMU | ACC | 73.2 | 16.7% | |
| 38 | Houston | Big 12 | 73.0 | 12.5% | |
| 39 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 72.8 | 12.3% | |
| 40 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 72.7 | 13.1% | |
| 41 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 72.7 | 20.9% | |
| 42 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 72.4 | 6.0% | |
| 43 | Boston College | ACC | 72.3 | 3.9% | |
| 44 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 72.3 | 9.3% | |
| 45 | Iowa | Big Ten | 72.3 | 20.5% | |
| 46 | Kansas | Big 12 | 72.3 | 8.1% | |
| 47 | Louisville | ACC | 72.2 | 18.9% | |
| 48 | UCLA | Big Ten | 72.0 | 13.9% | |
| 49 | Arizona | Big 12 | 71.9 | 11.9% | |
| 50 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 71.9 | 2.4% | |
| 51 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 71.8 | 14.8% | |
| 52 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 71.5 | 3.3% | |
| 53 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 71.5 | 12.3% | |
| 54 | Utah | Big 12 | 71.5 | 11.9% | |
| 55 | Syracuse | ACC | 71.4 | 13.3% | |
| 56 | Arkansas | SEC | 71.3 | 16.3% | |
| 57 | Arizona State | Big 12 | 71.0 | 10.0% | |
| 58 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 70.9 | 5.0% | |
| 59 | Tulane | AAC | 70.8 | 1.4% | |
| 60 | NC State | ACC | 70.8 | 14.0% | |
| 61 | Wake Forest | ACC | 70.6 | 5.6% | |
| 62 | Cal | ACC | 70.6 | 6.6% | |
| 63 | South Florida | AAC | 70.6 | 5.8% | |
| 64 | Duke | ACC | 70.2 | 8.2% | |
| 65 | BYU | Big 12 | 70.2 | 12.6% | |
| 66 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | 70.0 | 1.1% | |
| 67 | East Carolina | AAC | 69.9 | 3.6% | |
| 68 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 69.6 | 7.5% | |
| 69 | Toledo | MAC | 69.5 | 1.3% | |
| 70 | Memphis | AAC | 69.4 | 4.6% | |
| 71 | Charlotte | AAC | 69.4 | 2.0% | |
| 72 | Louisiana-Lafayette | Sun Belt | 69.4 | 3.6% | |
| 73 | Purdue | Big Ten | 69.3 | 6.0% | |
| 74 | Miami (OH) | MAC | 69.1 | 3.7% | |
| 75 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 68.8 | 1.5% | |
| 76 | Florida Atlantic | AAC | 68.6 | 1.6% | |
| 77 | UAB | AAC | 68.5 | 0.0% | |
| 78 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 68.4 | 1.4% | |
| 79 | Virginia | ACC | 68.4 | 1.3% | |
| 80 | Colorado State | Pac-12 | 68.4 | 2.5% | |
| 81 | Troy | Sun Belt | 68.2 | 0.0% | |
| 82 | UConn | Independent | 68.2 | 0.0% | |
| 83 | Ohio | MAC | 68.1 | 0.0% | |
| 84 | Jacksonville State | C-USA | 68.0 | 1.6% | |
| 85 | Liberty | C-USA | 68.0 | 1.5% | |
| 86 | UTSA | AAC | 67.9 | 9.7% | |
| 87 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 67.7 | 1.2% | |
| 88 | Middle Tennessee | C-USA | 67.6 | 1.7% | |
| 89 | Western Kentucky | C-USA | 67.0 | 0.0% | |
| 90 | Illinois | Big Ten | 67.0 | 9.1% | |
| 91 | Rice | AAC | 66.9 | 0.0% | |
| 92 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 66.6 | 5.2% | |
| 93 | North Texas | AAC | 66.2 | 3.3% | |
| 94 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 66.2 | 0.0% | |
| 95 | UMass | MAC | 66.1 | 0.0% | |
| 96 | Boise State | Pac-12 | 66.1 | 1.1% | |
| 97 | Appalachian State | Sun Belt | 66.0 | 1.5% | |
| 98 | Akron | MAC | 65.9 | 0.0% | |
| 99 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 65.9 | 0.0% | |
| 100 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 65.8 | 1.1% | |
| 101 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 65.8 | 1.3% | |
| 102 | Buffalo | MAC | 65.7 | 0.0% | |
| 103 | Tulsa | AAC | 65.6 | 2.9% | |
| 104 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 65.5 | 1.4% | |
| 105 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 65.3 | 4.2% | |
| 106 | Ball State | MAC | 65.0 | 0.0% | |
| 107 | Navy | AAC | 65.0 | 0.0% | |
| 108 | Florida International | C-USA | 64.9 | 3.3% | |
| 109 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 64.9 | 0.0% | |
| 110 | Eastern Michigan | MAC | 64.9 | 0.0% | |
| 111 | Utah State | Pac-12 | 64.8 | 0.0% | |
| 112 | UNLV | Mountain West | 64.8 | 3.7% | |
| 113 | Louisiana Tech | C-USA | 64.8 | 1.4% | |
| 114 | San Diego State | Pac-12 | 64.7 | 2.6% | |
| 115 | Temple | AAC | 64.6 | 0.0% | |
| 116 | Sam Houston | C-USA | 64.3 | 0.0% | |
| 117 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 64.3 | 3.1% | |
| 118 | Western Michigan | MAC | 63.9 | 1.3% | |
| 119 | Nevada | Mountain West | 63.7 | 1.3% | |
| 120 | Louisiana Monroe | Sun Belt | 63.7 | 0.0% | |
| 121 | Army | AAC | 63.6 | 0.0% | |
| 122 | Bowling Green | MAC | 63.1 | 0.0% | |
| 123 | Air Force | Mountain West | 63.1 | 0.0% | |
| 124 | Missouri State | C-USA | 63.1 | 0.0% | |
| 125 | Northern Illinois | Mountain West | 62.7 | 0.0% | |
| 126 | UTEP | Mountain West | 62.6 | 1.3% | |
| 127 | Hawaii | Mountain West | 62.5 | 1.7% | |
| 128 | Central Michigan | MAC | 62.5 | 0.0% | |
| 129 | Kent State | MAC | 62.4 | 0.0% | |
| 130 | Sac State | MAC | 61.9 | 3.0% | |
| 131 | New Mexico State | C-USA | 60.5 | 2.2% | |
| 132 | San Jose State | Mountain West | 60.5 | 0.0% | |
| 133 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | 60.4 | 0.0% | |
| 134 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 58.4 | 0.0% | |
| 135 | Fresno State | Pac-12 | 58.2 | 0.0% | |
| 136 | Kennesaw State | C-USA | 57.1 | 0.0% | |
| 137 | Delaware | C-USA | 57.1 | 2.1% |
This is talent on paper, not a prediction. The composite is a leading indicator of
the roster · it is the talent a team signed, not what it will do on the field. We do not
attach a record, a ranking, or a bet to it, because recruiting talent does not beat the
spread and we tested that. Every number carries its sample · 137 FBS programs ·
2026 season · research, not advice · 21+.
See which of these teams the record says are due to move →