College football power ratings for 2026. Our number on the FBS field.
These are our college football power ratings for the 2026 season. The EL Rating v1 starts every team at its preseason composite: last season's performance, four years of blue chip recruiting, returning production, transfer class quality, and coaching continuity, fit to what actually predicts wins. Tested on two held out seasons it missed actual win totals by 1.88 wins on average against 1.97 for a rating built on last season's performance alone. Once a team plays, its rating moves one game at a time on opponent adjusted margin (the in-season layer, refit after each week's finals; currently through week 11, written Nov 14, 2026). Expected wins still come from the preseason schedule walk and are not re-walked in season. Below it sits the talent layer the rating drew from, which keeps refreshing to the current recruiting snapshot.
There are 138 FBS teams in 2026, and every one of them carries a rating below. North Dakota State and Sacramento State moved up from the FCS this season with no preseason history, so each starts from a transition prior instead (the median rating of the bottom 10 preseason teams) and walks the season one game at a time from there, same as everybody else, just without an expected wins number, since that comes only from the preseason schedule walk they never had.
| Rk | Team | Rating | Expected wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Georgia | 27.1 | 9.9 |
| 2 | Alabama | 24.1 | 7.6 |
| 3 | Texas | 21.3 | 7.8 |
| 4 | LSU | 19.8 | 7.2 |
| 5 | Notre Dame | 19.5 | 10.8 |
| 6 | Tennessee | 18.8 | 7.6 |
| 7 | Miami | 18.4 | 10.1 |
| 8 | Ohio State | 17.8 | 10.4 |
| 9 | Ole Miss | 17.8 | 8.1 |
| 10 | Indiana | 15.9 | 8.6 |
| 11 | Utah | 15.4 | 9.4 |
| 12 | Iowa | 14.6 | 7.7 |
| 13 | Oregon | 13.8 | 10.1 |
| 14 | South Carolina | 13.8 | 6.6 |
| 15 | Missouri | 13.8 | 6.6 |
| 16 | UCLA | 12.6 | 3.6 |
| 17 | Wake Forest | 12.2 | 5.8 |
| 18 | Louisville | 12.0 | 7.5 |
| 19 | USC | 11.4 | 8.7 |
| 20 | Oklahoma | 11.2 | 7.6 |
| 21 | Arizona | 10.9 | 7.4 |
| 22 | Texas A&M | 10.7 | 9.8 |
| 23 | Boise State | 10.5 | 6.2 |
| 24 | BYU | 9.8 | 8.3 |
| 25 | Texas Tech | 9.5 | 10.3 |
| 26 | Duke | 9.2 | 6.0 |
| 27 | Baylor | 8.9 | 5.9 |
| 28 | Kentucky | 8.7 | 3.6 |
| 29 | Northwestern | 8.5 | 5.8 |
| 30 | Nebraska | 8.3 | 6.3 |
| 31 | Penn State | 8.1 | 8.6 |
| 32 | SMU | 7.8 | 8.5 |
| 33 | Oklahoma State | 7.8 | 3.0 |
| 34 | Auburn | 7.5 | 6.9 |
| 35 | Florida | 7.4 | 6.6 |
| 36 | Washington | 6.9 | 8.0 |
| 37 | Wisconsin | 6.7 | 4.7 |
| 38 | Florida State | 6.4 | 7.9 |
| 39 | North Carolina | 6.2 | 4.5 |
| 40 | New Mexico | 6.1 | 7.1 |
| 41 | Michigan | 6.0 | 7.8 |
| 42 | Texas State | 5.9 | 6.1 |
| 43 | Houston | 5.7 | 7.9 |
| 44 | Clemson | 5.6 | 8.6 |
| 45 | James Madison | 5.6 | 8.1 |
| 46 | Memphis | 5.5 | 7.2 |
| 47 | Liberty | 5.4 | 6.6 |
| 48 | Illinois | 5.2 | 6.8 |
| 49 | TCU | 4.5 | 6.7 |
| 50 | Louisiana Tech | 3.7 | 7.1 |
| 51 | North Texas | 3.4 | 7.5 |
| 52 | Mississippi State | 3.3 | 4.8 |
| 53 | Fresno State | 2.9 | 5.8 |
| 54 | Minnesota | 2.3 | 5.8 |
| 55 | Pittsburgh | 1.9 | 7.3 |
| 56 | North Dakota State | 1.0 | · in-season rating from a transition prior; no preseason walk |
| 57 | Oregon State | 0.8 | 3.8 |
| 58 | Michigan State | 0.8 | 4.2 |
| 59 | Western Michigan | 0.8 | 7.5 |
| 60 | Iowa State | 0.6 | 6.6 |
| 61 | Virginia Tech | 0.5 | 4.5 |
| 62 | UTSA | 0.5 | 7.6 |
| 63 | Vanderbilt | 0.3 | 6.7 |
| 64 | Arkansas | 0.2 | 3.7 |
| 65 | Cincinnati | 0.1 | 5.2 |
| 66 | South Florida | 0.1 | 8.0 |
| 67 | Kansas | -0.3 | 6.0 |
| 68 | UCF | -0.5 | 6.0 |
| 69 | Toledo | -0.5 | 9.0 |
| 70 | Arizona State | -0.6 | 5.5 |
| 71 | Louisiana | -0.6 | 7.5 |
| 72 | Syracuse | -1.0 | 3.9 |
| 73 | West Virginia | -1.0 | 4.8 |
| 74 | Florida Atlantic | -1.1 | 5.1 |
| 75 | Georgia Southern | -1.1 | 4.6 |
| 76 | Tulsa | -1.2 | 5.6 |
| 77 | Virginia | -1.5 | 7.0 |
| 78 | Purdue | -1.5 | 4.0 |
| 79 | Army | -1.6 | 7.4 |
| 80 | Air Force | -1.9 | 7.6 |
| 81 | Utah State | -2.3 | 4.8 |
| 82 | Kansas State | -2.3 | 7.8 |
| 83 | East Carolina | -2.6 | 7.6 |
| 84 | Jacksonville State | -2.8 | 7.2 |
| 85 | UConn | -2.9 | 7.1 |
| 86 | Colorado | -3.2 | 4.7 |
| 87 | Maryland | -3.3 | 5.9 |
| 88 | NC State | -3.6 | 7.3 |
| 89 | Navy | -4.4 | 6.8 |
| 90 | Boston College | -4.8 | 3.6 |
| 91 | UNLV | -5.3 | 7.5 |
| 92 | Delaware | -5.3 | 6.3 |
| 93 | Buffalo | -5.5 | 6.0 |
| 94 | Miami (OH) | -5.6 | 6.6 |
| 95 | Georgia State | -5.8 | 4.1 |
| 96 | Ohio | -6.2 | 7.1 |
| 97 | Central Michigan | -6.3 | 6.4 |
| 98 | San Diego State | -6.8 | 7.6 |
| 99 | Rutgers | -6.9 | 5.5 |
| 100 | Washington State | -7.0 | 6.4 |
| 101 | South Alabama | -7.1 | 6.0 |
| 102 | Stanford | -7.4 | 3.4 |
| 103 | Wyoming | -7.7 | 5.7 |
| 104 | Tulane | -8.0 | 6.7 |
| 105 | UAB | -8.4 | 4.3 |
| 106 | Temple | -8.5 | 5.5 |
| 107 | Florida International | -8.9 | 6.4 |
| 108 | Western Kentucky | -9.0 | 7.7 |
| 109 | Georgia Tech | -9.0 | 6.5 |
| 110 | Arkansas State | -9.2 | 5.8 |
| 111 | App State | -9.5 | 6.3 |
| 112 | Kennesaw State | -9.8 | 6.0 |
| 113 | Hawai'i | -9.8 | 8.3 |
| 114 | Nevada | -10.0 | 5.7 |
| 115 | Troy | -10.1 | 6.4 |
| 116 | California | -10.1 | 5.5 |
| 117 | Missouri State | -10.4 | 5.0 |
| 118 | San José State | -10.6 | 5.0 |
| 119 | Marshall | -10.7 | 7.4 |
| 120 | Middle Tennessee | -11.5 | 5.1 |
| 121 | Coastal Carolina | -11.5 | 4.7 |
| 122 | Rice | -11.7 | 3.7 |
| 123 | Bowling Green | -12.1 | 5.2 |
| 124 | Old Dominion | -12.5 | 7.0 |
| 125 | Southern Miss | -12.6 | 5.3 |
| 126 | Colorado State | -12.6 | 3.7 |
| 127 | New Mexico State | -12.7 | 4.7 |
| 128 | Eastern Michigan | -13.3 | 6.2 |
| 129 | Massachusetts | -14.1 | 2.6 |
| 130 | Ball State | -15.6 | 3.8 |
| 131 | Kent State | -16.1 | 4.5 |
| 132 | Charlotte | -16.7 | 2.8 |
| 133 | UTEP | -18.4 | 4.3 |
| 134 | UL Monroe | -18.5 | 4.4 |
| 135 | Sam Houston | -19.5 | 3.4 |
| 136 | Akron | -20.2 | 6.0 |
| 137 | Sacramento State | -20.5 | · in-season rating from a transition prior; no preseason walk |
| 138 | Northern Illinois | -21.0 | 5.2 |
The talent layer
| Rk | Team | Conference | Composite | Talent | Blue-chip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 83.3 | 67.7% | |
| 2 | Texas | SEC | 83.0 | 67.2% | |
| 3 | Texas A&M | SEC | 81.6 | 75.6% | |
| 4 | Alabama | SEC | 81.6 | 63.8% | |
| 5 | Georgia | SEC | 80.4 | 69.6% | |
| 6 | Miami | ACC | 80.1 | 56.8% | |
| 7 | Notre Dame | Independent | 79.6 | 61.6% | |
| 8 | Florida | SEC | 79.4 | 63.6% | |
| 9 | Oregon | Big Ten | 79.1 | 59.8% | |
| 10 | South Carolina | SEC | 78.7 | 55.0% | |
| 11 | LSU | SEC | 78.5 | 62.8% | |
| 12 | Penn State | Big Ten | 77.9 | 47.3% | |
| 13 | Oklahoma | SEC | 77.8 | 38.5% | |
| 14 | Florida State | ACC | 77.4 | 45.3% | |
| 15 | Michigan | Big Ten | 76.7 | 53.6% | |
| 16 | Clemson | ACC | 76.3 | 52.4% | |
| 17 | Auburn | SEC | 76.2 | 52.9% | |
| 18 | Ole Miss | SEC | 75.8 | 40.5% | |
| 19 | USC | Big Ten | 75.4 | 51.0% | |
| 20 | Missouri | SEC | 74.2 | 32.2% | |
| 21 | UCF | Big 12 | 73.9 | 14.3% | |
| 22 | Maryland | Big Ten | 73.6 | 16.7% | |
| 23 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 73.1 | 18.4% | |
| 24 | Colorado | Big 12 | 73.0 | 31.4% | |
| 25 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 72.9 | 11.8% | |
| 26 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 72.8 | 13.0% | |
| 27 | Baylor | Big 12 | 72.7 | 11.1% | |
| 28 | Washington | Big Ten | 72.7 | 25.5% | |
| 29 | North Carolina | ACC | 72.6 | 20.7% | |
| 30 | Mississippi State | SEC | 72.5 | 21.6% | |
| 31 | Tennessee | SEC | 72.3 | 44.9% | |
| 32 | Kentucky | SEC | 72.1 | 25.6% | |
| 33 | Stanford | ACC | 71.8 | 7.1% | |
| 34 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 71.7 | 24.4% | |
| 35 | TCU | Big 12 | 71.7 | 15.6% | |
| 36 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 71.6 | 21.7% | |
| 37 | Boston College | ACC | 71.3 | 4.1% | |
| 38 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 71.3 | 11.5% | |
| 39 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 71.2 | 11.0% | |
| 40 | Indiana | Big Ten | 70.9 | 14.7% | |
| 41 | SMU | ACC | 70.6 | 16.2% | |
| 42 | Iowa | Big Ten | 70.5 | 21.0% | |
| 43 | NC State | ACC | 70.4 | 13.5% | |
| 44 | Louisville | ACC | 70.4 | 19.2% | |
| 45 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 70.4 | 15.0% | |
| 46 | Houston | Big 12 | 70.3 | 12.9% | |
| 47 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 70.2 | 4.9% | |
| 48 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 70.1 | 11.9% | |
| 49 | Utah | Big 12 | 70.1 | 12.2% | |
| 50 | UCLA | Big Ten | 70.1 | 13.0% | |
| 51 | Arizona | Big 12 | 70.0 | 11.1% | |
| 52 | Kansas | Big 12 | 70.0 | 8.1% | |
| 53 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 69.8 | 3.3% | |
| 54 | Arizona State | Big 12 | 69.6 | 10.3% | |
| 55 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 69.6 | 9.5% | |
| 56 | Arkansas | SEC | 69.6 | 13.6% | |
| 57 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 69.5 | 2.6% | |
| 58 | Syracuse | ACC | 69.2 | 10.9% | |
| 59 | Wake Forest | ACC | 69.1 | 5.7% | |
| 60 | Duke | ACC | 69.0 | 7.2% | |
| 61 | South Florida | AAC | 68.9 | 5.0% | |
| 62 | Cal | ACC | 68.7 | 7.4% | |
| 63 | Tulane | AAC | 68.4 | 1.4% | |
| 64 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 68.3 | 5.1% | |
| 65 | BYU | Big 12 | 68.0 | 12.8% | |
| 66 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 67.7 | 7.8% | |
| 67 | Charlotte | AAC | 67.6 | 2.0% | |
| 68 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 67.5 | 1.5% | |
| 69 | East Carolina | AAC | 67.4 | 3.9% | |
| 70 | Purdue | Big Ten | 67.2 | 6.0% | |
| 71 | Memphis | AAC | 67.2 | 3.6% | |
| 72 | Florida Atlantic | AAC | 67.1 | 1.6% | |
| 73 | Louisiana-Lafayette | Sun Belt | 67.1 | 3.8% | |
| 74 | Virginia | ACC | 66.8 | 1.4% | |
| 75 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | 66.8 | 1.2% | |
| 76 | Miami (OH) | MAC | 66.8 | 3.8% | |
| 77 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 66.6 | 1.5% | |
| 78 | Toledo | MAC | 66.6 | 1.3% | |
| 79 | UAB | AAC | 66.5 | 0.0% | |
| 80 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 66.4 | 1.2% | |
| 81 | Ohio | MAC | 66.3 | 0.0% | |
| 82 | UTSA | AAC | 66.3 | 6.8% | |
| 83 | Colorado State | Pac-12 | 66.1 | 1.3% | |
| 84 | Jacksonville State | C-USA | 66.0 | 1.6% | |
| 85 | Illinois | Big Ten | 66.0 | 9.5% | |
| 86 | Middle Tennessee | C-USA | 65.9 | 1.7% | |
| 87 | UConn | Independent | 65.7 | 0.0% | |
| 88 | Liberty | C-USA | 65.7 | 1.6% | |
| 89 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 65.3 | 1.4% | |
| 90 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 65.1 | 0.0% | |
| 91 | Boise State | Pac-12 | 65.0 | 1.1% | |
| 92 | Rice | AAC | 64.9 | 0.0% | |
| 93 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 64.9 | 0.0% | |
| 94 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 64.8 | 1.1% | |
| 95 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 64.7 | 5.4% | |
| 96 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 64.4 | 1.4% | |
| 97 | Akron | MAC | 64.4 | 0.0% | |
| 98 | Florida International | C-USA | 64.3 | 3.4% | |
| 99 | Tulsa | AAC | 64.3 | 2.9% | |
| 100 | Troy | Sun Belt | 64.2 | 0.0% | |
| 101 | Appalachian State | Sun Belt | 64.1 | 1.6% | |
| 102 | Louisiana Tech | C-USA | 64.0 | 1.4% | |
| 103 | Buffalo | MAC | 64.0 | 0.0% | |
| 104 | North Texas | AAC | 63.9 | 3.4% | |
| 105 | Navy | AAC | 63.8 | 0.0% | |
| 106 | Western Kentucky | C-USA | 63.6 | 0.0% | |
| 107 | UMass | MAC | 63.6 | 0.0% | |
| 108 | North Dakota State | Mountain West | 63.5 | 0.0% | |
| 109 | Temple | AAC | 63.5 | 0.0% | |
| 110 | UNLV | Mountain West | 63.5 | 3.8% | |
| 111 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 63.3 | 4.3% | |
| 112 | Eastern Michigan | MAC | 63.2 | 0.0% | |
| 113 | Sam Houston | C-USA | 63.1 | 0.0% | |
| 114 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 63.0 | 0.0% | |
| 115 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 62.9 | 3.2% | |
| 116 | San Diego State | Pac-12 | 62.8 | 2.7% | |
| 117 | Utah State | Pac-12 | 62.8 | 0.0% | |
| 118 | Ball State | MAC | 62.6 | 0.0% | |
| 119 | Western Michigan | MAC | 62.4 | 1.3% | |
| 120 | Air Force | Mountain West | 62.2 | 0.0% | |
| 121 | Bowling Green | MAC | 62.2 | 0.0% | |
| 122 | Louisiana Monroe | Sun Belt | 62.1 | 0.0% | |
| 123 | Nevada | Mountain West | 62.1 | 1.4% | |
| 124 | UTEP | Mountain West | 61.9 | 1.4% | |
| 125 | Kent State | MAC | 61.7 | 0.0% | |
| 126 | Missouri State | C-USA | 61.7 | 0.0% | |
| 127 | Army | AAC | 61.5 | 0.0% | |
| 128 | Hawaii | Mountain West | 61.4 | 0.0% | |
| 129 | Central Michigan | MAC | 61.0 | 0.0% | |
| 130 | Northern Illinois | Mountain West | 60.8 | 0.0% | |
| 131 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | 59.6 | 0.0% | |
| 132 | Sac State | MAC | 59.5 | 1.6% | |
| 133 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 58.5 | 0.0% | |
| 134 | San Jose State | Mountain West | 58.2 | 0.0% | |
| 135 | New Mexico State | C-USA | 58.2 | 2.2% | |
| 136 | Kennesaw State | C-USA | 56.6 | 0.0% | |
| 137 | Fresno State | Pac-12 | 55.8 | 0.0% | |
| 138 | Delaware | C-USA | 55.6 | 2.1% |
This is talent on paper, not a prediction. The composite is a leading indicator of
the roster · it is the talent a team signed, not what it will do on the field. We do not
attach a record, a ranking, or a bet to it, because recruiting talent does not beat the
spread and we tested that. Every number carries its sample · 138 FBS programs ·
2026 season · research, not advice · 21+.
See which of these teams the record says are due to move →