Trail Blazers at home, Nets with rest

Two favorites look a touch too comfortable, and the dogs have enough on the floor to make them work.

Down 5.7 units going into this slate. The hole is real. So is the price.

The shortest price is where I start. Portland just showed Oklahoma City exactly what the building can do, and the rematch asks the Thunder to answer without a day away from it. Brooklyn is less pretty, which is why the return is there. The Pelicans have their own scheduling problem, and I will charge them for it.

Oklahoma City Thunder at Portland Trail Blazers

The Portland Trail Blazers are +102 at DraftKings, with only 1.5 points separating these teams. Portland put 123 on Oklahoma City while allowing 103 in their last meeting, then gets the same floor again tonight. Both teams are playing back to back, so there is no rest excuse for the favorite. The Trail Blazers are 7-3 in regular-season play, and I will take Portland to win outright.

What beats it: Oklahoma City’s 4-1 recent run and 12.6 average margin can erase the rematch result quickly.

Brooklyn Nets at New Orleans Pelicans

The Brooklyn Nets are +156 at DraftKings despite getting 4.5 points and arriving with 2 days off. New Orleans is in its third game in 4 nights and enters after a 138-87 loss to Golden State. Brooklyn has been uneven, but the Pelicans are 4-7 in regular-season play with a -13 average margin across their last five. I will take Brooklyn to win outright.

What beats it: New Orleans has the home floor, while Brooklyn is 2-8 and last lost 93-130.

I would stand behind the short Portland price first. Brooklyn is the louder number, and its rough record is the part I will not dress up.

Prices as captured Wednesday, Nov 11 at 9:00 AM ET. Adults 21 and over only. This is research and entertainment, not a recommendation to bet.

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