Alt line pricer
This page is the market's history, not a pick. It counts how closing spreads and totals actually landed in every NFL regular season game from 2002 to 2025 and every college game with a closing line from 2013 to 2025. Pick a closing number and an alternate number to see how often the closing favorite covered it in past games that closed there. Every share shows its sample, and fewer than 30 games reads as too few games. No Edge Labs model is in it, and nothing here is a forecast for a game on this week's board.
The alt line pricer is a member tool
Members can price any alternate spread or total against the market's own history: how often the closing favorite covered each number in past games that closed there, with the count, the interval and the break-even arithmetic, plus the key-number, push and hook tables. One example: 998 NFL games from 2002 to 2025 closed at exactly 3, and the favorite won by exactly 3 in 88 of them (8.8%). Those were pushes at -3 that -2.5 covered.
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