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CFB week 10 · Nov 3 to Nov 7 Picks 16-16 · 32 Picks graded

  • Hawai'i at UTEP Nov 7 Hawai'i -8.5 Hawai'i 17, UTEP 14 Loss
  • Fresno State at Utah State Nov 7 Fresno State -2 Fresno State 10, Utah State 17 Loss
  • Hawai'i at UTEP Nov 7 Under 49.5 (total) Hawai'i 17, UTEP 14 Win
  • Liberty at New Mexico State Nov 7 Liberty -16.5 · free Liberty 30, New Mexico State 14 Loss
  • Liberty at New Mexico State Nov 7 Under 46.5 (total) Liberty 30, New Mexico State 14 Win
  • Louisville at Georgia Tech Nov 7 Louisville -14.5 · free Louisville 44, Georgia Tech 17 Win
  • Iowa at Northwestern Nov 7 Iowa +2.5 Iowa 24, Northwestern 10 Win
  • Miami at Notre Dame Nov 7 Miami +6 Miami 24, Notre Dame 31 Loss
  • Georgia at Ole Miss Nov 7 Georgia -3.5 Georgia 42, Ole Miss 7 Win
  • Air Force at Army Nov 7 Under 45.5 (total) Air Force 24, Army 21 Win
  • Michigan State at Michigan Nov 7 Under 39.5 (total) Michigan State 15, Michigan 6 Win
  • Sam Houston at Jacksonville State Nov 7 Under 48.5 (total) Sam Houston 14, Jacksonville State 47 Loss
  • Vanderbilt at Mississippi State Nov 7 Vanderbilt +3 Vanderbilt 25, Mississippi State 23 Win
  • Vanderbilt at Mississippi State Nov 7 Under 48.5 (total) Vanderbilt 25, Mississippi State 23 Win
  • Northern Illinois at San José State Nov 7 Under 52.5 (total) Northern Illinois 19, San José State 30 Win
  • Louisiana Tech at Troy Nov 7 Under 47.5 (total) Louisiana Tech 41, Troy 17 Loss
  • Missouri State at Florida International Nov 7 Under 50 (total) Missouri State 20, Florida International 23 Win
  • Charlotte at UAB Nov 7 Charlotte +9 Charlotte 12, UAB 23 Loss
  • Alabama at LSU Nov 7 LSU -5.5 Alabama 31, LSU 13 Loss
  • Marshall at Georgia Southern Nov 7 Under 55 (total) Marshall 13, Georgia Southern 49 Loss
  • Temple at Navy Nov 7 Under 54.5 (total) Temple 35, Navy 42 Loss
  • Charlotte at UAB Nov 7 Over 47.5 (total) Charlotte 12, UAB 23 Loss
  • Delaware at Kennesaw State Nov 7 Delaware -1.5 Delaware 40, Kennesaw State 42 Loss
  • Iowa State at Baylor Nov 7 Under 50.5 (total) Iowa State 31, Baylor 42 Loss
  • Florida State at Boston College Nov 7 Under 51.5 (total) Florida State 31, Boston College 24 Loss
  • New Mexico at Nevada Nov 6 Under 37.5 (total) New Mexico 31, Nevada 3 Win
  • Nebraska at Illinois Nov 6 Illinois +4.5 Nebraska 13, Illinois 24 Win
  • Nebraska at Illinois Nov 6 Under 50.5 (total) · free Nebraska 13, Illinois 24 Win
  • Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan Nov 4 Under 44.5 (total) Central Michigan 35, Eastern Michigan 7 Win
  • Buffalo at Miami (OH) Nov 3 Buffalo +7 Buffalo 34, Miami (OH) 31 Win
  • Buffalo at Miami (OH) Nov 3 Under 45.5 (total) Buffalo 34, Miami (OH) 31 Loss
  • Ohio at Akron Nov 3 Ohio -12.5 Ohio 28, Akron 20 Loss

Kept apart from this record: the Prop Desk's own record of its prop Picks and Buck's column record, both on the Prop Desk page, and the column tallies of Ace, Stack and Buck in The Lab.

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How the ledger works

Every Pick we post lands here and grades in public at the number it locked at. Nothing is removed: the ledger only ever grows. The tiles are the record and the number our posts cite, each league counted on its own. Every Pick locks the moment it publishes, at the number it published at, and grades against that same number, win or lose. A call keeps the label it carried when it locked and is never recomputed after the fact. A Pick is our strongest call and goes on the record. A Lean is which way we lean on a game and is not a pick, and it is not on this record.

Free picks are the Picks we released publicly, each stamped when it dropped. That tab keeps every free pick ever released, including the earlier ones that were Leans, because it is the record a reader who never paid us actually saw. Every free Pick is also in the Picks record, tagged free, and counted once there; the earlier free calls that were Leans are on this tab only.

How every pick gets graded

  • Every pick freezes at post time. The side, the line, and the number we played never change after we hit post.
  • Every pick grades against the final score at the number we posted.
  • Wins and misses both post within 24 hours. Same format, same weight.
  • The ledger is append-only. Nothing gets deleted, edited, or quietly dropped.

How the board is made

Where the board comes from

Every call comes from our three analysts, Ace, Stack and Buck. A Pick is our strongest call, and Picks are the only calls on this record. The Prop Desk and the three columns keep their own records, linked below the list.

A Pick locks the moment it publishes, at the number it published at, and grades against that number within 24 hours of the final. A Pick is never a win probability or a hit rate: the Picks record at the top of this page is a count of graded Picks, not a promise about the next one.

See the early-totals backtest and its final result →

Locked futures positions, graded at season end at the number we posted: college football win totals, NFL win totals and the Super Bowl board, and the win total standings.