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Every Pick, graded in public

The 2026 record

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CFB Picks, week by week

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CFB week 6 · Oct 7 to Oct 10 Picks 17-16 · 33 Picks graded

  • Louisiana at Louisiana Tech Oct 10 Louisiana +3 Louisiana 31, Louisiana Tech 32 Win
  • Air Force at Northern Illinois Oct 10 Under 47 (total) Air Force 28, Northern Illinois 7 Win
  • James Madison at Georgia Southern Oct 10 Under 54 (total) James Madison 27, Georgia Southern 24 Win
  • Georgia at Alabama Oct 10 Under 53.5 (total) Georgia 20, Alabama 17 Win
  • Nevada at UTEP Oct 10 Nevada -8.5 · free Nevada 30, UTEP 13 Win
  • UAB at Memphis Oct 10 UAB +14.5 · free UAB 13, Memphis 38 Loss
  • San Diego State at Oregon State Oct 10 Oregon State -14.5 San Diego State 14, Oregon State 66 Win
  • San Diego State at Oregon State Oct 10 Under 54 (total) San Diego State 14, Oregon State 66 Loss
  • Tennessee at Arkansas Oct 10 Tennessee -13.5 · free Tennessee 24, Arkansas 17 Loss
  • Rice at East Carolina Oct 10 Rice +10 Rice 12, East Carolina 28 Loss
  • Charlotte at North Texas Oct 10 Charlotte +28.5 Charlotte 10, North Texas 50 Loss
  • Eastern Michigan at Akron Oct 10 Eastern Michigan -6.5 Eastern Michigan 25, Akron 23 Loss
  • Illinois at Michigan State Oct 10 Illinois -2.5 Illinois 38, Michigan State 37 Loss
  • Kent State at Western Michigan Oct 10 Under 43.5 (total) Kent State 7, Western Michigan 38 Loss
  • Central Michigan at Ohio Oct 10 Under 47 (total) Central Michigan 14, Ohio 31 Win
  • Eastern Michigan at Akron Oct 10 Under 52.5 (total) Eastern Michigan 25, Akron 23 Win
  • Illinois at Michigan State Oct 10 Under 48.5 (total) Illinois 38, Michigan State 37 Loss
  • Stanford at Notre Dame Oct 10 Under 54.5 (total) Stanford 7, Notre Dame 58 Loss
  • Houston at Kansas State Oct 10 Under 55.5 (total) Houston 35, Kansas State 16 Win
  • Texas vs Oklahoma Oct 10 Under 39.5 (total) Texas 24, Oklahoma 27 Loss
  • Miami (OH) at Massachusetts Oct 10 Under 47.5 (total) Miami (OH) 20, Massachusetts 19 Win
  • South Carolina at Florida Oct 10 Under 62 (total) South Carolina 38, Florida 19 Win
  • Arizona at West Virginia Oct 10 Arizona -3 Arizona 52, West Virginia 31 Win
  • Sacramento State at Bowling Green Oct 10 Under 44.5 (total) Sacramento State 10, Bowling Green 38 Loss
  • Indiana at Nebraska Oct 10 Under 51.5 (total) Indiana 20, Nebraska 17 Win
  • North Carolina at Pittsburgh Oct 10 Under 47.5 (total) North Carolina 21, Pittsburgh 17 Win
  • UCF at Oklahoma State Oct 10 Under 53.5 (total) UCF 28, Oklahoma State 42 Loss
  • Arizona at West Virginia Oct 10 Under 61.5 (total) Arizona 52, West Virginia 31 Loss
  • Wyoming at San José State Oct 9 Under 44 (total) Wyoming 16, San José State 13 Win
  • Florida State at Louisville Oct 9 Florida State +4 Florida State 20, Louisville 44 Loss
  • Sam Houston at Liberty Oct 8 Under 52.5 (total) Sam Houston 3, Liberty 35 Win
  • New Mexico State at Florida International Oct 7 Under 47.5 (total) New Mexico State 3, Florida International 22 Win
  • Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State Oct 7 Under 50 (total) Jacksonville State 27, Kennesaw State 26 Loss

Kept apart from this record: the Prop Desk's own record of its prop Picks and Buck's column record, both on the Prop Desk page, and the column tallies of Ace, Stack and Buck in The Lab.

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How the ledger works

Every Pick we post lands here and grades in public at the number it locked at. Nothing is removed: the ledger only ever grows. The tiles are the record and the number our posts cite, each league counted on its own. Every Pick locks the moment it publishes, at the number it published at, and grades against that same number, win or lose. A call keeps the label it carried when it locked and is never recomputed after the fact. A Pick is our strongest call and goes on the record. A Lean is which way we lean on a game and is not a pick, and it is not on this record.

Free picks are the Picks we released publicly, each stamped when it dropped. That tab keeps every free pick ever released, including the earlier ones that were Leans, because it is the record a reader who never paid us actually saw. Every free Pick is also in the Picks record, tagged free, and counted once there; the earlier free calls that were Leans are on this tab only.

How every pick gets graded

  • Every pick freezes at post time. The side, the line, and the number we played never change after we hit post.
  • Every pick grades against the final score at the number we posted.
  • Wins and misses both post within 24 hours. Same format, same weight.
  • The ledger is append-only. Nothing gets deleted, edited, or quietly dropped.

How the board is made

Where the board comes from

Every call comes from our three analysts, Ace, Stack and Buck. A Pick is our strongest call, and Picks are the only calls on this record. The Prop Desk and the three columns keep their own records, linked below the list.

A Pick locks the moment it publishes, at the number it published at, and grades against that number within 24 hours of the final. A Pick is never a win probability or a hit rate: the Picks record at the top of this page is a count of graded Picks, not a promise about the next one.

See the early-totals backtest and its final result →

Locked futures positions, graded at season end at the number we posted: college football win totals, NFL win totals and the Super Bowl board, and the win total standings.