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CFB week 7 · Oct 14 to Oct 17 Picks 20-18 · 38 Picks graded

  • Nebraska at Oregon Oct 17 Nebraska +7.5 Nebraska 14, Oregon 17 Win
  • Utah at Colorado Oct 17 Utah -14.5 Utah 27, Colorado 24 Loss
  • Ohio at Sacramento State Oct 17 Under 48.5 (total) Ohio 48, Sacramento State 7 Loss
  • San José State at UTEP Oct 17 Under 47 (total) San José State 24, UTEP 11 Win
  • Elon at Stanford Oct 17 Elon +35.5 · free Elon 7, Stanford 34 Win
  • Wisconsin at UCLA Oct 17 Wisconsin +2.5 · free Wisconsin 7, UCLA 17 Loss
  • Notre Dame at BYU Oct 17 BYU +10.5 · free Notre Dame 24, BYU 28 Win
  • Elon at Stanford Oct 17 Under 56.5 (total) Elon 7, Stanford 34 Win
  • Oklahoma State at Houston Oct 17 Under 62.5 (total) Oklahoma State 32, Houston 35 Loss
  • Kent State at South Florida Oct 17 Kent State +21 Kent State 2, South Florida 29 Loss
  • Kent State at South Florida Oct 17 Under 45.5 (total) Kent State 2, South Florida 29 Win
  • TCU at Baylor Oct 17 Under 48.5 (total) TCU 17, Baylor 6 Win
  • Florida State at Miami Oct 17 Under 56.5 (total) Florida State 35, Miami 43 Loss
  • Washington State at Oregon State Oct 17 Under 52.5 (total) Washington State 30, Oregon State 48 Loss
  • Troy at Louisiana Oct 17 Under 49.5 (total) Troy 6, Louisiana 33 Win
  • Missouri at Ole Miss Oct 17 Missouri +6.5 Missouri 3, Ole Miss 31 Loss
  • Auburn at Georgia Oct 17 Auburn +20.5 Auburn 27, Georgia 24 Win
  • Akron at Miami (OH) Oct 17 Under 46.5 (total) Akron 14, Miami (OH) 34 Loss
  • UNLV at Air Force Oct 17 Under 48.5 (total) UNLV 31, Air Force 41 Loss
  • Northern Illinois at Wyoming Oct 17 Under 41 (total) Northern Illinois 23, Wyoming 41 Loss
  • Missouri at Ole Miss Oct 17 Under 59.5 (total) Missouri 3, Ole Miss 31 Win
  • Auburn at Georgia Oct 17 Under 49.5 (total) Auburn 27, Georgia 24 Loss
  • Western Michigan at Central Michigan Oct 17 Western Michigan -6.5 Western Michigan 21, Central Michigan 14 Win
  • Massachusetts at Buffalo Oct 17 Under 41.5 (total) Massachusetts 18, Buffalo 25 Loss
  • Ball State at Bowling Green Oct 17 Bowling Green -6.5 Ball State 32, Bowling Green 31 Loss
  • Virginia at SMU Oct 17 SMU -8.5 Virginia 13, SMU 23 Win
  • Cincinnati at West Virginia Oct 17 Cincinnati +2 Cincinnati 42, West Virginia 45 Loss
  • Florida at Texas Oct 17 Texas -10.5 Florida 27, Texas 24 Loss
  • Charleston Southern at Clemson Oct 17 Under 58.5 (total) Charleston Southern 0, Clemson 37 Win
  • Ohio State at Indiana Oct 17 Under 51.5 (total) Ohio State 19, Indiana 15 Win
  • Pittsburgh at Boston College Oct 17 Under 43 (total) · free Pittsburgh 21, Boston College 27 Loss
  • Florida at Texas Oct 17 Under 53 (total) Florida 27, Texas 24 Win
  • Washington at Purdue Oct 16 Under 52.5 (total) Washington 38, Purdue 26 Loss
  • Memphis at Tulane Oct 16 Under 55.5 (total) Memphis 17, Tulane 31 Win
  • Georgia Southern at Old Dominion Oct 15 Georgia Southern -3.5 Georgia Southern 23, Old Dominion 15 Win
  • Georgia Southern at Old Dominion Oct 15 Under 47.5 (total) Georgia Southern 23, Old Dominion 15 Win
  • Western Kentucky at Sam Houston Oct 14 Under 53.5 (total) Western Kentucky 16, Sam Houston 3 Win
  • Kennesaw State at Missouri State Oct 14 Under 52.5 (total) Kennesaw State 21, Missouri State 24 Win

Kept apart from this record: the Prop Desk's own record of its prop Picks and Buck's column record, both on the Prop Desk page, and the column tallies of Ace, Stack and Buck in The Lab.

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Every Pick we post lands here and grades in public at the number it locked at. Nothing is removed: the ledger only ever grows. The tiles are the record and the number our posts cite, each league counted on its own. Every Pick locks the moment it publishes, at the number it published at, and grades against that same number, win or lose. A call keeps the label it carried when it locked and is never recomputed after the fact. A Pick is our strongest call and goes on the record. A Lean is which way we lean on a game and is not a pick, and it is not on this record.

Free picks are the Picks we released publicly, each stamped when it dropped. That tab keeps every free pick ever released, including the earlier ones that were Leans, because it is the record a reader who never paid us actually saw. Every free Pick is also in the Picks record, tagged free, and counted once there; the earlier free calls that were Leans are on this tab only.

How every pick gets graded

  • Every pick freezes at post time. The side, the line, and the number we played never change after we hit post.
  • Every pick grades against the final score at the number we posted.
  • Wins and misses both post within 24 hours. Same format, same weight.
  • The ledger is append-only. Nothing gets deleted, edited, or quietly dropped.

How the board is made

Where the board comes from

Every call comes from our three analysts, Ace, Stack and Buck. A Pick is our strongest call, and Picks are the only calls on this record. The Prop Desk and the three columns keep their own records, linked below the list.

A Pick locks the moment it publishes, at the number it published at, and grades against that number within 24 hours of the final. A Pick is never a win probability or a hit rate: the Picks record at the top of this page is a count of graded Picks, not a promise about the next one.

See the early-totals backtest and its final result →

Locked futures positions, graded at season end at the number we posted: college football win totals, NFL win totals and the Super Bowl board, and the win total standings.