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Every Pick, graded in public

The 2026 record

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CFB week 9 · Oct 28 to Oct 31 Picks 15-12 · 27 Picks graded

  • Northern Illinois at UNLV Oct 31 Under 54.5 (total) Northern Illinois 24, UNLV 31 Loss
  • Army at Memphis Oct 31 Army +6 · free Army 22, Memphis 49 Loss
  • Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh Oct 31 Pittsburgh -7.5 Georgia Tech 11, Pittsburgh 34 Win
  • Mississippi State at Texas Oct 31 Under 50.5 (total) · free Mississippi State 3, Texas 31 Win
  • Ohio State at USC Oct 31 Under 51.5 (total) Ohio State 18, USC 30 Win
  • Clemson at Florida State Oct 31 Under 50.5 (total) Clemson 36, Florida State 24 Loss
  • Nevada at UCLA Oct 31 Under 44.5 (total) Nevada 0, UCLA 27 Win
  • New Mexico at San José State Oct 31 San José State +14.5 · free New Mexico 21, San José State 16 Win
  • New Mexico at San José State Oct 31 Under 42.5 (total) New Mexico 21, San José State 16 Win
  • Utah at Cincinnati Oct 31 Utah -6.5 Utah 49, Cincinnati 25 Win
  • Virginia at Wake Forest Oct 31 Under 49.5 (total) Virginia 7, Wake Forest 51 Loss
  • Northwestern at Oregon Oct 31 Northwestern +3.5 · free Northwestern 26, Oregon 34 Loss
  • Florida International at Liberty Oct 31 Under 45.5 (total) Florida International 10, Liberty 49 Loss
  • UTEP at North Dakota State Oct 31 Under 43 (total) UTEP 7, North Dakota State 31 Win
  • Louisiana Tech at South Alabama Oct 31 Louisiana Tech -5.5 Louisiana Tech 35, South Alabama 20 Win
  • Louisiana Tech at South Alabama Oct 31 Under 59 (total) Louisiana Tech 35, South Alabama 20 Win
  • Marshall at Old Dominion Oct 31 Marshall -2.5 Marshall 36, Old Dominion 23 Win
  • Auburn at Ole Miss Oct 31 Auburn +13.5 Auburn 15, Ole Miss 45 Loss
  • Auburn at Ole Miss Oct 31 Under 57.5 (total) Auburn 15, Ole Miss 45 Loss
  • Michigan at Rutgers Oct 31 Under 47 (total) Michigan 28, Rutgers 21 Loss
  • Notre Dame vs Navy Oct 31 Navy +30.5 Notre Dame 35, Navy 13 Win
  • Illinois at Maryland Oct 31 Illinois -2.5 Illinois 20, Maryland 17 Win
  • SMU at Syracuse Oct 31 Syracuse +10 SMU 27, Syracuse 30 Win
  • Arizona at Texas Tech Oct 31 Arizona +3.5 Arizona 26, Texas Tech 34 Loss
  • UAB at South Florida Oct 31 Under 42.5 (total) UAB 10, South Florida 30 Win
  • Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee Oct 28 Middle Tennessee -2.5 Kennesaw State 44, Middle Tennessee 28 Loss
  • Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee Oct 28 Under 50.5 (total) Kennesaw State 44, Middle Tennessee 28 Loss

Kept apart from this record: the Prop Desk's own record of its prop Picks and Buck's column record, both on the Prop Desk page, and the column tallies of Ace, Stack and Buck in The Lab.

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How the ledger works

Every Pick we post lands here and grades in public at the number it locked at. Nothing is removed: the ledger only ever grows. The tiles are the record and the number our posts cite, each league counted on its own. Every Pick locks the moment it publishes, at the number it published at, and grades against that same number, win or lose. A call keeps the label it carried when it locked and is never recomputed after the fact. A Pick is our strongest call and goes on the record. A Lean is which way we lean on a game and is not a pick, and it is not on this record.

Free picks are the Picks we released publicly, each stamped when it dropped. That tab keeps every free pick ever released, including the earlier ones that were Leans, because it is the record a reader who never paid us actually saw. Every free Pick is also in the Picks record, tagged free, and counted once there; the earlier free calls that were Leans are on this tab only.

How every pick gets graded

  • Every pick freezes at post time. The side, the line, and the number we played never change after we hit post.
  • Every pick grades against the final score at the number we posted.
  • Wins and misses both post within 24 hours. Same format, same weight.
  • The ledger is append-only. Nothing gets deleted, edited, or quietly dropped.

How the board is made

Where the board comes from

Every call comes from our three analysts, Ace, Stack and Buck. A Pick is our strongest call, and Picks are the only calls on this record. The Prop Desk and the three columns keep their own records, linked below the list.

A Pick locks the moment it publishes, at the number it published at, and grades against that number within 24 hours of the final. A Pick is never a win probability or a hit rate: the Picks record at the top of this page is a count of graded Picks, not a promise about the next one.

See the early-totals backtest and its final result →

Locked futures positions, graded at season end at the number we posted: college football win totals, NFL win totals and the Super Bowl board, and the win total standings.