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Every Pick, graded in public

The 2026 record

NFLCFBNBACBB

NFL Picks, week by week

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PicksFree picks

NFL week 1 · Sep 10 to Sep 14 Picks 4-2 · 6 Picks graded

  • Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs Sep 14 Under 43.5 (total) Denver Broncos 10, Kansas City Chiefs 31 Win
  • Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Chargers Sep 13 Arizona Cardinals +9.5 · free Arizona Cardinals 26, Los Angeles Chargers 14 Win
  • Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders Sep 13 Under 40.5 (total) · free Miami Dolphins 13, Las Vegas Raiders 27 Win
  • Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts Sep 13 Indianapolis Colts +3.5 Baltimore Ravens 41, Indianapolis Colts 23 Loss
  • Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers Sep 13 Under 47.5 (total) Chicago Bears 59, Carolina Panthers 37 Loss
  • San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams Sep 10 San Francisco 49ers +3.5 San Francisco 49ers 27, Los Angeles Rams 7 Win

Kept apart from this record: the Prop Desk's own record of its prop Picks and Buck's column record, both on the Prop Desk page, and the column tallies of Ace, Stack and Buck in The Lab.

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How the ledger works

Every Pick we post lands here and grades in public at the number it locked at. Nothing is removed: the ledger only ever grows. The tiles are the record and the number our posts cite, each league counted on its own. Every Pick locks the moment it publishes, at the number it published at, and grades against that same number, win or lose. A call keeps the label it carried when it locked and is never recomputed after the fact. A Pick is our strongest call and goes on the record. A Lean is which way we lean on a game and is not a pick, and it is not on this record.

Free picks are the Picks we released publicly, each stamped when it dropped. That tab keeps every free pick ever released, including the earlier ones that were Leans, because it is the record a reader who never paid us actually saw. Every free Pick is also in the Picks record, tagged free, and counted once there; the earlier free calls that were Leans are on this tab only.

How every pick gets graded

  • Every pick freezes at post time. The side, the line, and the number we played never change after we hit post.
  • Every pick grades against the final score at the number we posted.
  • Wins and misses both post within 24 hours. Same format, same weight.
  • The ledger is append-only. Nothing gets deleted, edited, or quietly dropped.

How the board is made

Where the board comes from

Every call comes from our three analysts, Ace, Stack and Buck. A Pick is our strongest call, and Picks are the only calls on this record. The Prop Desk and the three columns keep their own records, linked below the list.

A Pick locks the moment it publishes, at the number it published at, and grades against that number within 24 hours of the final. A Pick is never a win probability or a hit rate: the Picks record at the top of this page is a count of graded Picks, not a promise about the next one.

See the early-totals backtest and its final result →

Locked futures positions, graded at season end at the number we posted: college football win totals, NFL win totals and the Super Bowl board, and the win total standings.