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Every Pick, graded in public

The 2026 record

NFL Picks, week by week

NFL week 9 · Nov 8 Picks none graded yet

  • Denver Broncos at Carolina Panthers Nov 8 Denver Broncos -2.5 · free Pending

NFL week 8 · Oct 29 to Nov 2 Picks 3-4 · 7 Picks graded

  • Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks Nov 2 Under 46.5 (total) Chicago Bears 34, Seattle Seahawks 17 Loss
  • Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos Nov 1 Under 40.5 (total) Kansas City Chiefs 24, Denver Broncos 28 Loss
  • Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers Nov 1 Cleveland Browns +3.5 · free Cleveland Browns 6, Pittsburgh Steelers 27 Loss
  • Tennessee Titans at Cincinnati Bengals Nov 1 Under 47 (total) Tennessee Titans 36, Cincinnati Bengals 43 Loss
  • Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions Nov 1 Under 46.5 (total) Minnesota Vikings 15, Detroit Lions 19 Win
  • Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Nov 1 Under 45.5 (total) Atlanta Falcons 0, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16 Win
  • Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers Oct 29 Under 47.5 (total) · free Carolina Panthers 19, Green Bay Packers 27 Win

NFL week 7 · Oct 22 to Oct 26 Picks 5-4 · 9 Picks graded

  • Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles Oct 26 Under 44.5 (total) Dallas Cowboys 38, Philadelphia Eagles 21 Loss
  • Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions Oct 25 Under 53.5 (total) Green Bay Packers 17, Detroit Lions 20 Win
  • Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings Oct 25 Minnesota Vikings -6.5 Indianapolis Colts 10, Minnesota Vikings 16 Loss
  • Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings Oct 25 Under 41.5 (total) Indianapolis Colts 10, Minnesota Vikings 16 Win
  • Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans Oct 25 Under 37.5 (total) · free Cleveland Browns 27, Tennessee Titans 24 Loss
  • Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints Oct 25 Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 Pittsburgh Steelers 16, New Orleans Saints 10 Win
  • Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints Oct 25 Under 45 (total) Pittsburgh Steelers 16, New Orleans Saints 10 Win
  • New England Patriots at Chicago Bears Oct 22 Chicago Bears -3 · free New England Patriots 24, Chicago Bears 30 Win
  • New England Patriots at Chicago Bears Oct 22 Under 50.5 (total) New England Patriots 24, Chicago Bears 30 Loss

NFL week 6 · Oct 18 Picks 0-1-1 · 2 Picks graded, 1 push

  • Buffalo Bills at Las Vegas Raiders Oct 18 Buffalo Bills -4.5 · free Buffalo Bills 33, Las Vegas Raiders 30 Loss
  • New York Jets at New England Patriots Oct 18 New England Patriots -7 · free New York Jets 19, New England Patriots 26 Push

NFL week 5 · Oct 11 to Oct 12 Picks 5-1 · 6 Picks graded

  • Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams Oct 12 Los Angeles Rams -3 Buffalo Bills 37, Los Angeles Rams 34 Loss
  • Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals Oct 11 Detroit Lions -5.5 · free Detroit Lions 45, Arizona Cardinals 21 Win
  • Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers Oct 11 Denver Broncos -3.5 · free Denver Broncos 23, Los Angeles Chargers 17 Win
  • Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints Oct 11 Minnesota Vikings -1.5 Minnesota Vikings 23, New Orleans Saints 13 Win
  • Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars Oct 11 Philadelphia Eagles +7.5 Philadelphia Eagles 17, Jacksonville Jaguars 19 Win
  • Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars Oct 11 Under 42.5 (total) Philadelphia Eagles 17, Jacksonville Jaguars 19 Win

NFL week 4 · Oct 1 to Oct 4 Picks 2-7-1 · 10 Picks graded, 1 push

  • Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers Oct 4 Detroit Lions -3.5 · free Detroit Lions 26, Carolina Panthers 32 Loss
  • Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks Oct 4 Seattle Seahawks -7 Los Angeles Chargers 23, Seattle Seahawks 30 Push
  • Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks Oct 4 Under 43.5 (total) Los Angeles Chargers 23, Seattle Seahawks 30 Loss
  • Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles Oct 4 Philadelphia Eagles +3 Los Angeles Rams 24, Philadelphia Eagles 20 Loss
  • Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals Oct 4 Jacksonville Jaguars +2.5 · free Jacksonville Jaguars 22, Cincinnati Bengals 17 Win
  • Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants Oct 4 Arizona Cardinals -2 Arizona Cardinals 24, New York Giants 36 Loss
  • New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills Oct 4 Under 48.5 (total) New England Patriots 29, Buffalo Bills 26 Loss
  • Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans Oct 4 Over 47.5 (total) · free Dallas Cowboys 34, Houston Texans 30 Win
  • Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants Oct 4 Under 44.5 (total) Arizona Cardinals 24, New York Giants 36 Loss
  • Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns Oct 1 Pittsburgh Steelers -3 Pittsburgh Steelers 24, Cleveland Browns 27 Loss

NFL week 3 · Sep 27 Picks 1-0 · 1 Pick graded

  • New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars Sep 27 Under 45.5 (total) New England Patriots 6, Jacksonville Jaguars 35 Win

NFL week 2 · Sep 20 Picks 3-3 · 6 Picks graded

  • Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys Sep 20 Washington Commanders +3.5 · free Washington Commanders 20, Dallas Cowboys 37 Loss
  • Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals Sep 20 Arizona Cardinals +4.5 · free Seattle Seahawks 31, Arizona Cardinals 7 Loss
  • Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals Sep 20 Under 41.5 (total) Seattle Seahawks 31, Arizona Cardinals 7 Win
  • Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots Sep 20 Pittsburgh Steelers +5.5 · free Pittsburgh Steelers 3, New England Patriots 20 Loss
  • Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots Sep 20 Under 41.5 (total) Pittsburgh Steelers 3, New England Patriots 20 Win
  • Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears Sep 20 Under 49.5 (total) Minnesota Vikings 9, Chicago Bears 3 Win

NFL week 1 · Sep 10 to Sep 14 Picks 4-2 · 6 Picks graded

  • Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs Sep 14 Under 43.5 (total) Denver Broncos 10, Kansas City Chiefs 31 Win
  • Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Chargers Sep 13 Arizona Cardinals +9.5 · free Arizona Cardinals 26, Los Angeles Chargers 14 Win
  • Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders Sep 13 Under 40.5 (total) · free Miami Dolphins 13, Las Vegas Raiders 27 Win
  • Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts Sep 13 Indianapolis Colts +3.5 Baltimore Ravens 41, Indianapolis Colts 23 Loss
  • Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers Sep 13 Under 47.5 (total) Chicago Bears 59, Carolina Panthers 37 Loss
  • San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams Sep 10 San Francisco 49ers +3.5 San Francisco 49ers 27, Los Angeles Rams 7 Win

Kept apart from this record: the Prop Desk's own record of its prop Picks and Buck's column record, both on the Prop Desk page, and the column tallies of Ace, Stack and Buck in The Lab.

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How the ledger works

Every Pick we post lands here and grades in public at the number it locked at. Nothing is removed: the ledger only ever grows. The tiles are the record and the number our posts cite, each league counted on its own. Every Pick locks the moment it publishes, at the number it published at, and grades against that same number, win or lose. A call keeps the label it carried when it locked and is never recomputed after the fact. A Pick is our strongest call and goes on the record. A Lean is which way we lean on a game and is not a pick, and it is not on this record.

Free picks are the Picks we released publicly, each stamped when it dropped. That tab keeps every free pick ever released, including the earlier ones that were Leans, because it is the record a reader who never paid us actually saw. Every free Pick is also in the Picks record, tagged free, and counted once there; the earlier free calls that were Leans are on this tab only.

How every pick gets graded

  • Every pick freezes at post time. The side, the line, and the number we played never change after we hit post.
  • Every pick grades against the final score at the number we posted.
  • Wins and misses both post within 24 hours. Same format, same weight.
  • The ledger is append-only. Nothing gets deleted, edited, or quietly dropped.

How the board is made

Where the board comes from

Every call comes from our three analysts, Ace, Stack and Buck. A Pick is our strongest call, and Picks are the only calls on this record. The Prop Desk and the three columns keep their own records, linked below the list.

A Pick locks the moment it publishes, at the number it published at, and grades against that number within 24 hours of the final. A Pick is never a win probability or a hit rate: the Picks record at the top of this page is a count of graded Picks, not a promise about the next one.

See the early-totals backtest and its final result →

Locked futures positions, graded at season end at the number we posted: college football win totals, NFL win totals and the Super Bowl board, and the win total standings.