College football strength of schedule for 2026. All 136 slates, ranked.
One number per team: the mean EL Preseason Rating of every opponent on the actual 2026 regular season slate. FCS opponents count at -22, a couple of touchdowns below the worst rated FBS team, because a bought home game drags a schedule average the same way it pads a record.
Texas plays the hardest schedule in the country. Mean opponent rating 12.8, clear of Arkansas at 10.7 and Oklahoma at 10.4, with zero FCS games on the slate (only 10 of 136 FBS teams can say that) and Ohio State, the top team on our board, waiting on it. That slate is a big part of why our number has Texas at 7.78 expected wins while the market hangs 9.5. The full win total lean is on the futures board.
| Rk | Team | Opp rating avg | Hardest opponent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Texas | 12.8 | Ohio State (31.2) |
| 2 | Arkansas | 10.7 | Georgia (26.4) |
| 3 | Oklahoma | 10.4 | Georgia (26.4) |
| 4 | Kentucky | 9.5 | Texas A&M (25.5) |
| 5 | Florida | 9.2 | Georgia (26.4) |
| 6 | Alabama | 9.1 | Georgia (26.4) |
| 7 | LSU | 8.4 | Texas A&M (25.5) |
| 8 | Mississippi State | 8.3 | Texas (19.8) |
| 9 | Missouri | 8.1 | Georgia (26.4) |
| 10 | Ole Miss | 8.0 | Georgia (26.4) |
| 11 | South Carolina | 8.0 | Georgia (26.4) |
| 12 | Georgia | 7.8 | Ole Miss (18.5) |
| 13 | Ohio State | 7.6 | Oregon (26.2) |
| 14 | Michigan | 7.6 | Ohio State (31.2) |
| 15 | Auburn | 7.5 | Georgia (26.4) |
| 16 | Tennessee | 6.8 | Texas A&M (25.5) |
| 17 | Vanderbilt | 6.6 | Georgia (26.4) |
| 18 | Michigan State | 6.2 | Oregon (26.2) |
| 19 | Texas A&M | 6.0 | Texas (19.8) |
| 20 | USC | 5.8 | Ohio State (31.2) |
| 21 | Indiana | 5.3 | Ohio State (31.2) |
| 22 | Nebraska | 5.2 | Ohio State (31.2) |
| 23 | Washington | 5.2 | Oregon (26.2) |
| 24 | Northwestern | 4.8 | Ohio State (31.2) |
| 25 | Purdue | 4.3 | Notre Dame (24.2) |
| 26 | Oregon | 4.1 | Ohio State (31.2) |
| 27 | UCLA | 3.8 | Oregon (26.2) |
| 28 | North Carolina | 3.7 | Notre Dame (24.2) |
| 29 | Florida State | 3.7 | Miami (20.8) |
| 30 | Iowa | 3.0 | Ohio State (31.2) |
| 31 | Boston College | 2.9 | Notre Dame (24.2) |
| 32 | Stanford | 2.8 | Notre Dame (24.2) |
| 33 | Illinois | 2.5 | Ohio State (31.2) |
| 34 | Minnesota | 2.5 | Indiana (17.0) |
| 35 | Maryland | 2.1 | Ohio State (31.2) |
| 35 | Penn State | 2.1 | USC (18.4) |
| 36 | Arizona State | 1.9 | Texas A&M (25.5) |
| 37 | Wisconsin | 1.8 | Notre Dame (24.2) |
| 38 | Syracuse | 1.8 | Notre Dame (24.2) |
| 39 | Baylor | 1.6 | Texas Tech (15.6) |
| 40 | Georgia Tech | 1.2 | Georgia (26.4) |
| 41 | BYU | 1.1 | Notre Dame (24.2) |
| 41 | Cincinnati | 1.1 | Texas Tech (15.6) |
| 42 | TCU | 1.0 | Texas Tech (15.6) |
| 43 | Arizona | 1.0 | Texas Tech (15.6) |
| 44 | Clemson | 0.8 | Miami (20.8) |
| 44 | Rutgers | 0.8 | USC (18.4) |
| 45 | Oklahoma State | 0.8 | Oregon (26.2) |
| 46 | Colorado | 0.7 | Texas Tech (15.6) |
| 46 | Louisville | 0.7 | Ole Miss (18.5) |
| 47 | Virginia Tech | 0.4 | Miami (20.8) |
| 48 | Duke | 0.3 | Miami (20.8) |
| 49 | West Virginia | -0.2 | Texas Tech (15.6) |
| 50 | Miami | -0.2 | Notre Dame (24.2) |
| 51 | Wake Forest | -0.3 | Miami (20.8) |
| 52 | Iowa State | -0.7 | Utah (14.0) |
| 53 | Utah | -0.8 | BYU (10.9) |
| 54 | Kansas | -0.8 | Utah (14.0) |
| 55 | Notre Dame | -0.8 | Miami (20.8) |
| 56 | Utah State | -1.3 | Utah (14.0) |
| 57 | Pittsburgh | -1.3 | Miami (20.8) |
| 58 | Boise State | -1.6 | Oregon (26.2) |
| 59 | Rice | -1.6 | Notre Dame (24.2) |
| 60 | Washington State | -1.7 | Washington (13.9) |
| 61 | Texas State | -1.7 | Texas (19.8) |
| 62 | NC State | -1.8 | Florida State (12.4) |
| 63 | Kansas State | -1.9 | Arizona (7.0) |
| 64 | SMU | -1.9 | Notre Dame (24.2) |
| 65 | California | -2.0 | Clemson (12.9) |
| 66 | Oregon State | -2.3 | Texas Tech (15.6) |
| 67 | UCF | -2.4 | BYU (10.9) |
| 68 | Virginia | -2.5 | Florida State (12.4) |
| 69 | Colorado State | -2.6 | BYU (10.9) |
| 70 | Houston | -2.8 | Texas Tech (15.6) |
| 71 | Charlotte | -3.2 | Ole Miss (18.5) |
| 72 | Tulane | -3.4 | Kansas State (5.2) |
| 73 | Florida Atlantic | -3.8 | Florida (12.9) |
| 74 | Navy | -4.0 | Notre Dame (24.2) |
| 75 | Temple | -4.1 | Penn State (12.7) |
| 76 | Fresno State | -4.1 | USC (18.4) |
| 76 | UTSA | -4.1 | Texas (19.8) |
| 77 | UAB | -4.3 | Illinois (5.4) |
| 78 | Southern Miss | -4.3 | Auburn (12.0) |
| 79 | Georgia Southern | -4.6 | Clemson (12.9) |
| 80 | San Diego State | -4.6 | Washington State (2.9) |
| 81 | Texas Tech | -4.9 | Arizona (7.0) |
| 82 | Army | -5.0 | South Florida (1.2) |
| 83 | Kent State | -5.0 | Ohio State (31.2) |
| 84 | Missouri State | -5.1 | Texas A&M (25.5) |
| 84 | North Texas | -5.1 | Indiana (17.0) |
| 85 | Louisiana Tech | -5.1 | LSU (14.1) |
| 86 | Memphis | -5.4 | South Florida (1.2) |
| 87 | East Carolina | -5.6 | Alabama (16.5) |
| 88 | South Alabama | -6.2 | Tulane (-0.6) |
| 89 | Western Kentucky | -6.2 | Georgia (26.4) |
| 90 | UL Monroe | -6.3 | Mississippi State (3.8) |
| 91 | UTEP | -6.4 | Oklahoma (18.1) |
| 92 | South Florida | -6.5 | UTSA (2.2) |
| 93 | Troy | -6.8 | Missouri (11.0) |
| 94 | Western Michigan | -6.8 | Michigan (15.2) |
| 95 | Old Dominion | -7.1 | James Madison (0.9) |
| 96 | Tulsa | -7.2 | UTSA (2.2) |
| 97 | New Mexico State | -7.3 | Florida State (12.4) |
| 98 | Sam Houston | -7.3 | Texas Tech (15.6) |
| 99 | San José State | -7.4 | USC (18.4) |
| 100 | UNLV | -7.4 | North Texas (1.4) |
| 101 | Arkansas State | -7.5 | TCU (3.7) |
| 102 | Ball State | -7.5 | Ohio State (31.2) |
| 103 | Georgia State | -7.5 | James Madison (0.9) |
| 104 | Coastal Carolina | -7.6 | James Madison (0.9) |
| 105 | James Madison | -7.7 | San Diego State (4.5) |
| 106 | Delaware | -7.7 | Vanderbilt (10.1) |
| 107 | UConn | -7.8 | James Madison (0.9) |
| 108 | Central Michigan | -8.0 | Miami (20.8) |
| 109 | App State | -8.0 | NC State (3.5) |
| 110 | Northern Illinois | -8.1 | Iowa (10.8) |
| 111 | Marshall | -8.2 | Penn State (12.7) |
| 112 | Louisiana | -8.3 | USC (18.4) |
| 113 | Akron | -8.3 | Minnesota (1.6) |
| 114 | New Mexico | -8.5 | Oklahoma (18.1) |
| 115 | Kennesaw State | -8.6 | Tennessee (14.5) |
| 116 | Miami (OH) | -8.9 | Pittsburgh (3.5) |
| 116 | Middle Tennessee | -8.9 | Western Kentucky (0.4) |
| 117 | Bowling Green | -9.0 | Nebraska (6.2) |
| 118 | Ohio | -9.2 | Nebraska (6.2) |
| 119 | Nevada | -9.6 | Western Kentucky (0.4) |
| 120 | Air Force | -9.6 | Army (0.3) |
| 121 | Wyoming | -9.7 | UNLV (-1.3) |
| 122 | Buffalo | -9.8 | Penn State (12.7) |
| 123 | Eastern Michigan | -10.2 | Toledo (1.9) |
| 124 | Florida International | -10.3 | South Florida (1.2) |
| 125 | Toledo | -10.8 | San Diego State (4.5) |
| 126 | Liberty | -10.9 | James Madison (0.9) |
| 127 | Massachusetts | -11.0 | Toledo (1.9) |
| 128 | Hawai'i | -11.2 | Arizona State (-0.9) |
| 129 | Jacksonville State | -11.5 | Western Kentucky (0.4) |
How this is built. Opponent ratings come from the EL Preseason Rating v1, our own
five component composite validated on two held out seasons. The slate is each team's
actual 2026 regular season schedule, 12 games for most teams, and every
average traces to those two tables. Tied averages share a rank. Research, not advice · 21+.
See the rating behind every opponent number →