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NFL · week 4 slate · Thu, Oct 1 to Mon, Oct 5

The week 4 NFL schedule. Our call on the spread and the total, on every game we called.

When the calls land: NFL picks land Wednesday evening, after the first official injury report, and Friday evening, after final designations. A pick locks the moment it posts and never changes; Friday adds picks on games the panel passed on Wednesday.

What am I looking at?

Every game on the 2026 week 4 NFL schedule with the latest captured line, the book that posted it, and our number beside the market. Every card carries our call on the spread and our call on the total, or says No call yet where our panel has not made one. Ace, Stack and Buck, our three panelists, work the games on the board. A Pick is our strongest call and goes on the record. A Lean is which way we lean on a game and is not a pick. NFL picks land Wednesday evening, after the first official injury report, and Friday evening, after final designations. A pick locks the moment it posts and never changes; Friday adds picks on games the panel passed on Wednesday. Members see every call. Where books have not posted yet, the slate says lines pending.

Week 4 is final. Every pick on it grades against its locked number on the record within 24 hours. The week 5 board publishes Wednesday at 4:30pm PT. See the grades → Week 5 schedule →

Every card has an Open game link to the full game page.
What the cards show, stated plainly

One card per game, the same on every card. The kickoff. The matchup with the market spread on each team and the market total with its book. Then two calls side by side: the spread and the total. Each call carries its tag, Pick or Lean, the side and the number, the panel meter, and three faces for Ace, Stack and Buck: a lime ring means that panelist is on the call's side, and a red ring means he took the other side. A game with no call says No call yet, because an absence is a result too and we would rather print it than leave a hole.

A Pick is our strongest call and goes on the record. A Lean is which way we lean on a game and is not a pick.The meter shows how strongly the panel backs the call. It is not a probability or a hit rate.The calls come from our analyst panel: Ace, Stack and Buck work the games on the board. Our number, on the card for members, is the model's read and is context, not the call.

The line is the latest capture per game at DraftKings, FanDuel or BetMGM, book named on every row. Our number is shown when both teams carry a rating; it includes about 2 points of home field, and none at a neutral site (the London, Munich, Madrid, Paris, Rio, Mexico City and Melbourne games list a designated home team but nobody is at home, and the card says so). That number is context, never the call. Where the market has moved off the number we took, the call says both, ours first, so the reader knows which number is ours. Rest days come straight from the schedule and are free context on every card. The panel works the week twice: Wednesday evening after the first official injury report, and Friday evening after final designations. A call locks the moment it posts and never changes; Friday adds calls on games Wednesday passed on. Calls open with membership until kickoff, and at kickoff every call on that game opens to everyone and stays frozen. Before Wednesday nothing has posted yet, and the board says so rather than promoting a stand-in. Every card is the whole read. The Open game link opens the full game page: the call, Ace, Stack and Buck one by one, the matchup context, the line history, and every trend on the game.

Week 4 · 16 games · Thu, Oct 1 to Mon, Oct 5

Schedule: the 2026 regular season. Lines captured Oct 5, 2026 · 16 of 16 games have a posted number. Our number on 16 games. Our calls on this board: 10 picks and 22 leans.

Thu, Oct 1
FINAL 24 · 27
DraftKings
outdoors · grass · rest Browns 4 · Steelers 4
Our number: Pittsburgh Steelers by 4.7
Pick Spread LOSS
Pittsburgh Steelers -3
Ace backs this callStack backs this callBuck backs this call 3 of 3
locked -3 · closed -2.5
taken Wed 7:42pm ET
Lean W Total
Over 38.5
Ace backs this callStack backs this callBuck is against this call 2 of 3
Sun, Oct 4 · Early window, 9:30am ET
FINAL 30 · 13
DraftKings
Neutral site · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium · outdoors · rest Commanders 7 · Colts 7
Our number: Indianapolis Colts by 4.3
Lean L Spread
Washington Commanders +4
Ace is against this callStack backs this callBuck backs this call 2 of 3
locked +4 · closed +4.5
taken Wed 7:42pm ET
Lean L Total
Over 47.5
Ace backs this callStack backs this callBuck is against this call 2 of 3
locked 47.5 · closed 46.5
FINAL 24 · 36
New York Giants 44.5 36
DraftKings
outdoors · fieldturf · rest Giants 7 · Cardinals 7
Our number: New York Giants by 4.4
Pick Spread LOSS
Arizona Cardinals -2
Ace backs this callStack backs this callBuck backs this call 3 of 3
locked -2 · closed -2.5
taken Wed 7:42pm ET
Pick Total LOSS
Under 44.5
-110 · BetMGM
Ace backs this callStack backs this callBuck backs this call 3 of 3
FINAL 34 · 30
Dallas Cowboys 48.5 34
DraftKings
astroturf · rest Texans 7 · Cowboys 7
Our number: Houston Texans by 4.3
Lean L Spread
Houston Texans -2.5
Ace backs this callStack backs this callBuck is against this call 2 of 3
locked -2.5 · closed -3
taken Wed 7:43pm ET
Pick Total free WIN
Over 47.5
-115 · FanDuel
Ace backs this callStack backs this callBuck backs this call 3 of 3
locked 47.5 · closed 48.5
free pick, released Fri 7:40pm ET
FINAL 17 · 14
DraftKings
outdoors · grass · rest Buccaneers 7 · Packers 10
Our number: Tampa Bay Buccaneers by 0.6
Lean W Spread
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.5
Ace backs this callStack backs this callBuck is against this call 2 of 3
locked +3.5 · closed +3
taken Wed 7:43pm ET
Lean L Total
Over 38.5
Ace backs this callStack backs this callBuck is against this call 2 of 3
FINAL 22 · 17
DraftKings
outdoors · fieldturf · rest Bengals 7 · Jaguars 7
Our number: Jacksonville Jaguars by 1.4
Pick Spread free WIN
Jacksonville Jaguars +2.5
Ace backs this callStack backs this callBuck backs this call 3 of 3
locked Wed 7:43pm ET
free pick, released Sun 9:06am ET
Lean W Total
Under 51.5
Ace backs this callStack backs this callBuck backs this call 2 of 3
FINAL 24 · 20
DraftKings
outdoors · grass · rest Eagles 6 · Rams 7
Our number: Los Angeles Rams by 4.5
Pick Spread LOSS
Philadelphia Eagles +3
Ace backs this callStack backs this callBuck is against this call 3 of 3
locked +3 · closed +3.5
taken Wed 7:43pm ET
Lean L Total
Under 43.5
Ace backs this callStack backs this callBuck backs this call 3 of 3
locked 43.5 · closed 42.5
FINAL 29 · 26
DraftKings
outdoors · a_turf · rest Bills 7 · Patriots 7
Our number: Buffalo Bills by 3.8
Lean W Spread
New England Patriots +7
Ace is against this callStack backs this callBuck backs this call 2 of 3
locked Wed 7:43pm ET
Pick Total LOSS
Under 48.5
Ace backs this callStack backs this callBuck backs this call 3 of 3
locked 48.5 · closed 49.5
FINAL 12 · 23
New York Jets 43.5 12
Chicago Bears -3.5 23
DraftKings
outdoors · grass · rest Bears 6 · Jets 7
Our number: Chicago Bears by 10.1
Lean W Spread
Chicago Bears -3.5
Ace backs this callStack backs this callBuck is against this call 2 of 3
locked Wed 7:43pm ET
Lean W Total
Under 43
Ace is against this callStack backs this callBuck backs this call 2 of 3
locked 43 · closed 43.5
FINAL 18 · 24
Baltimore Ravens -11.5 24
DraftKings
outdoors · grass · rest Ravens 7 · Titans 7
Our number: Baltimore Ravens by 12
Lean W Spread
Tennessee Titans +11.5
Ace backs this callStack backs this callBuck backs this call 3 of 3
locked Wed 7:43pm ET
Lean L Total
Over 42.5
Ace backs this callStack backs this callBuck is against this call 2 of 3
Sun, Oct 4 · Late afternoon window, 4:05pm ET
FINAL 10 · 15
Miami Dolphins 38.5 10
DraftKings
dome · sportturf · rest Vikings 7 · Dolphins 7
Our number: Minnesota Vikings by 13.6
Lean W Spread
Miami Dolphins +11
Ace backs this callStack backs this callBuck backs this call 3 of 3
locked +11 · closed +10
taken Wed 7:43pm ET
Lean W Total
Under 39
Ace backs this callStack backs this callBuck backs this call 3 of 3
locked 39 · closed 38.5
FINAL 14 · 24
Denver Broncos 48.5 14
DraftKings
outdoors · grass · rest 49ers 7 · Broncos 7
Our number: San Francisco 49ers by 3.5
Lean L Spread
Denver Broncos +3
Ace is against this callStack backs this callBuck backs this call 2 of 3
locked Wed 7:43pm ET
Lean W Total
Under 48.5
Ace is against this callStack backs this callBuck backs this call 2 of 3
FINAL 30 · 27
DraftKings
dome · grass · rest Raiders 7 · Chiefs 7
Our number: Kansas City Chiefs by 8.1
Lean W Spread
Las Vegas Raiders +4.5
Ace is against this callStack backs this callBuck backs this call 2 of 3
locked Wed 7:43pm ET
Lean L Total
Under 48
Ace backs this callStack backs this callBuck backs this call 3 of 3
locked 48 · closed 47.5
FINAL 23 · 30
DraftKings
outdoors · fieldturf · rest Seahawks 7 · Chargers 7
Our number: Seattle Seahawks by 12.5
Pick Spread PUSH
Seattle Seahawks -7
-115 · BetMGM
Ace backs this callStack backs this callBuck backs this call 3 of 3
locked Wed 7:43pm ET
Pick Total LOSS
Under 43.5
-115 · FanDuel
Ace backs this callStack backs this callBuck backs this call 3 of 3
locked 43.5 · closed 42.5
Sun, Oct 4 · Night game
FINAL 26 · 32
Detroit Lions -4.5 26
DraftKings
outdoors · grass · rest Panthers 7 · Lions 7
Our number: Detroit Lions by 6.9
Pick Spread free LOSS
Detroit Lions -3.5
Ace backs this callStack backs this callBuck backs this call 3 of 3
locked -3.5 · closed -4.5
taken Wed 7:43pm ET
free pick, released Wed 7:46pm ET
Lean L Total
Under 51.5
Ace is against this callStack backs this callBuck backs this call 2 of 3
Mon, Oct 5
FINAL 45 · 24
Atlanta Falcons 47.5 45
DraftKings
dome · sportturf · rest Saints 8 · Falcons 11
Our number: Atlanta Falcons by 1.9
Lean W Spread
Atlanta Falcons +2.5
Ace backs this callStack backs this callBuck backs this call 3 of 3
locked +2.5 · closed +1.5
taken Wed 7:43pm ET
Lean L Total
Under 47.5
Ace backs this callStack is against this callBuck backs this call 2 of 3

Where the numbers come from. Schedules and finals come from the league data we load each night. Lines are the latest capture at DraftKings, FanDuel or BetMGM, with the book named beside every number. Every Pick locks when it posts and grades at that number on the public record. Our number is context; the panel makes the call. Research, never a guarantee. 21+.